[NL20-NL50] [50/SH] turned TPnk vs big station

    • hova
      hova
      Silver
      Joined: 09.11.2006 Posts: 3,677
      Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      The Official 2+2 Hand Converter By DeucesCracked Poker Videos

      BB: $32.20
      UTG: $24.00
      MP: $17.80
      CO: $9.25
      BTN: $25.00
      Hero (SB): $31.50

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with Q:club: T:heart:
      4 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($3.00) 9:diamond: 3:diamond: 2:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.10, BB calls $2.10

      Turn: ($7.20) Q:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.10, BB calls $5.10

      River: ($17.40) 2:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $10.30, BB raises to $23.50 all in, Hero folds

      Opponent is 63/6 and folds 30% cbets (ip and oop together), meaning he'll fold even less ip.

      I didn't like c/c river, i think it's the worst option after bet/call. But after betting I didn't like the bet/fold any more.
      VS a thinking player my valuebet would be very thin, but consider I was on a 3barrel bluff I think bluffing the river vs this opponent in this spot would be even worse, because he's going to showdown with alot of crap and not only TP+. That's why I decided to bet/fold about 2/3 pot. I think he is almost never bluffing, sometimes, he'll think KQ is good and shove it here on the river thinking he trapped all the way.
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      if you bet you should b/f, unless you really have reads that player can turn his 88 or some other showdown hand into bluff. But I think I don´t like betting. If I check I can basically go to showdown if I want to and if I feel I´m beat then I´d take c/f line.
    • hova
      hova
      Silver
      Joined: 09.11.2006 Posts: 3,677
      So you will c/f this river 90% of the time (assuming he keeps his betsizing 2/3 to pot size as he usually does).
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by hova
      So you will c/f this river 90% of the time (assuming he keeps his betsizing 2/3 to pot size as he usually does).
      not really 90%, maybe 60%, but it really depends how is the game flow, if I have been aggressive, do I think he would float me twice on that board and so on. TP is still quite strong hand, so I really don´t give up that easily if I have reason to think he may bluff there