[NL2-NL10] NL: Quiz week #51

    • Puschkin81
      Joined: 14.04.2006 Posts: 4,786
      Titan No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10/$0.20BB (Titan HH Converter by Kreatief)

      Button ($37.47) (Hero)
      SB ($24.05)
      BB ($16.40)
      MP2 ($30.32) Vpip 18, PFR 15, AF 2,8, WTSD 28, Ps.de-Tag
      MP3 ($29.19) Vpip 25, WTSD 35
      CO ($4.20)

      Preflop: Hero is Button with 7:heart: , 8:heart:
      MP2 raises to 0.8, MP3 calls $0.80, 1 folds, Hero calls $0.80, 1 folds, BB calls $0.60

      Here we call with a SC in position against 2 deepstacks since we are getting excellent implied odds.

      Flop: T:diamond: , 6:diamond: , 9:diamond: ( $3.3 )
      MP2 bets $3.00, MP3 calls $3.00, Hero ?

      Now, again, I'd like an short explanatory answer.

      You can choose between:

      1. Call
      2. Raise AI
      3. Fold
  • 8 replies
    • comon
      Joined: 09.10.2007 Posts: 59
      I would call and if another diamond comes out on the turn or river i would fold.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would re-raise 12$, but since there isn´t that choice then all-in.
    • Dippy19
      Joined: 04.12.2007 Posts: 1,346
      I would re-raise to see if MP2 is bluffing, but since that's not an option I would go all-in, becouse MP2 is probably bluffing and MP3 has either a Kd or Ad in his hand and would fold anyway.
    • helemaalnicks
      Joined: 21.09.2007 Posts: 7,195
      i would try to check behind.
    • finchybg
      Joined: 16.12.2007 Posts: 910
      To my mind MP2 is either with a pair of tens and bets to see where he's at or he has some diamond and wants to scare the others if they don't have this suit(or maybe both).

      The next to act calls probably calls because he has a high diamond.

      Of course there is a probability that somebody has the flush on flop, but it could be only MP2, because if it was MP3 he would have made a serious reraise. Anyway, this is not the common case..

      But 95% we have the best hand here, so we put in a serious reraise for like 12-13$ and if somebody calls and a diamond comes on turn, we maybe fold then. In any other case, we push all-in on turn.
      And the best case is if they fold to our reraise :)

      Call for me is not a very good choice, because we give them cards for cheap.
      And I would not fold since on flop we are almost sure that we have the best hand.

      I vote for a RAISE.
    • Gungunhana
      Joined: 26.02.2007 Posts: 429
      Both players have a VP$IP of 25% or less so I´d put them on AJ+, 99+ . (we don´t have PFR for MP3,so his range could be a lot broader tough). We have nut straight so far and need protection against flushes or FH.
    • chenny8888
      Joined: 03.10.2007 Posts: 19,324
      raise AI
    • Puschkin81
      Joined: 14.04.2006 Posts: 4,786
      I clearly favour the option: Raise AI. The range of the player with the PS.de-tag is not that big which means he would almost never do only a normal continuation bet, so we proceed on the assumption that he either holds a strong hand or aims for the nut flush. The calling-station in MP3 shouldn't concern us overmuch since he is a fish and there are very good chances that he only calls with a FD.

      I've entered the following range into Equilator:

      Board: Td 9d 6d

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 62.643% 61.50% 01.14% 32878 611.00 { 8h7h}
      Hand 1: 37.357% 36.21% 01.14% 19360 611.00 { AcAd, AdAh, AdAs, KcKd, KdKh, KdKs, QcQd, QdQh, QdQs, JcJd, JdJh, JdJs, TT-99, 66, AJs+, KQs, AdKc, AdKh, AdKs, AhKd, AsKd, AcQd, AdQc, AdQh, AdQs, AhQd, AsQd, KcQd, KdQc, KdQh, KdQs, KhQd, KsQd }

      I think this is a quite reasonable range for the player with the Ps.de-tag. Here you can see how profitable the push of hero might be even without considering the small possible fold equity.