AA early on in a deep tournament

05.02.2011, 22:01 0

That's a hand from PokerStars' Supernova 1 000 000 freeroll, 10 000 starting chips, 15 min blind levels and here's a tough spot I encountered on level 3: ( I apologize for not being able to properly convert that hand, I got it from my PT3 and it does not go through pokerstrategy's converter)
Poker Stars Freeroll No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t75/t150 Blinds - 8 players - http://www.handconverter.com/hands/1159360
The DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG+1: t11194 74.63 BBs
MP1: t6150 41 BBs
MP2: t12987 86.58 BBs
CO: t9626 64.17 BBs
BTN: t8050 53.67 BBs
Hero (SB): t9953 66.35 BBs
BB: t19630 130.87 BBs
UTG: t11325 75.50 BBs

Pre Flop: (t225) Hero is SB with Ah Ac
UTG raises to t420, 5 folds, Hero raises to t1350, 1 fold, UTG calls t930

Flop: (t2850) 7d Tc Jc (2 players)
Hero bets t2100, UTG raises to t9975 all in, Hero ?

No information whatsoever for the player, neither he nor I played much before that. I have some thoughts but I'll share them after I get some feedback.

5 replies

_Anonymous_

05.02.2011, 23:31 0

dont like it but think would call

would rule out any two pair combinations & some of his range he could 4bet preflop so chances are he has set or draw but folding As here looks to weak

_Anonymous_

06.02.2011, 02:33 0

imo you got him crushed i dont expect random villain to shove set on this flop very often and his range is more toward QQ/KK imo
also i dont think that he has combo flush or str8 draw cos you have Ac so his wider range in this spot imo is QQ,KK,99,88,TT,JJ,77, AJ, KQcc, from more likely to less likely hand

Tiltberger

Joined: 23.06.2005

Posts: 24,937

07.02.2011, 17:49 0

Originally posted by bonebt
imo you got him crushed i dont expect random villain to shove set on this flop very often and his range is more toward QQ/KK imo
also i dont think that he has combo flush or str8 draw cos you have Ac so his wider range in this spot imo is QQ,KK,99,88,TT,JJ,77, AJ, KQcc, from more likely to less likely hand

yeah. don't fold your aa in that spot! nothing to add!

_Anonymous_

16.02.2011, 22:36 0

imo you got him crushed i dont expect random villain to shove set on this flop very often and his range is more toward QQ/KK imo
also i dont think that he has combo flush or str8 draw cos you have Ac so his wider range in this spot imo is QQ,KK,99,88,TT,JJ,77, AJ, KQcc, from more likely to less likely hand

From the list I would add AA, 89, JT and exclude 88, 99, unless the villain is very unreasonable.

I EquiLabed the ranges:

1) QQ,KK,99,88,TT,JJ,77, AJ, KcQc, which gives a 67,84% equity. (But who is the idiot who pushes with 88 and 99?)

2) TT+,77,AJs,JTs,98s,AJo,JTo,KcQc is a kind of mix between 1) and 3) and this gives us A 51,41% equity.

3) TT+,77,AJs,98s,AJo,98o,KcQc, JT, and we get 41,93% equity.

But wait a moment! I was about to forget that pot odds are 37,86%. Then for ICM 42,86%. So in cases 1) and 3) this is a +$EV call, whilst in the case TT+,77,AJs,98s,AJo,98o,KcQc, JT is a -$EV call.

_Anonymous_

16.02.2011, 22:55 0

:f_cool: ♠_cool:

[Closed] AA early on in a deep tournament