[NL2-NL10] NL10 AKo against river shove

    • nktns
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 452
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.80)
      BB ($10.01)
      UTG ($14.08)
      Hero ($10.31)
      CO ($13.27)
      BTN ($3.85)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: K:spade:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.75) 2:spade: 6:heart: K:heart:

      Hero bets $0.50, CO calls $0.50

      TURN ($1.75) 2:spade: 6:heart: K:heart: 3:club:

      Hero bets $1.20, CO calls $1.20

      RIVER ($4.15) 2:spade: 6:heart: K:heart: 3:club: A:spade:

      Hero bets $2.50, CO raises to $11.27 (AI), Hero calls $5.81 (AI)

      vpip: 27, pfr: 24, af: 1.6, WTS: 38%, 159 hands

      Not sure about a call. i think he should raise sets and somethiung like that already earlier so i have no idea what is he shoving now. how do you think?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello nktns,

      For him being pretty tightish, I guess I'd rather Bet/Fold the river for the reason that we need like 28% to make it break-even. But for example against this range:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 23,529% 17,647% 11,765% 70,588% AdKs
      Player 2: 76,471% 70,588% 11,765% 17,647% KK+, 66, 22, AKs, A6s, 54s, AKo, A6o, 54o

      We ain't getting it. Therefore rather just folding it unless I have some other proofs or anything like that. We just can't take him as pretty passive guy and shove there with hands like TP. And he had?

      Best regards.