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[Closed] NL10 AKo against river shove

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nktns
Joined: 22.10.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($10.80)
BB ($10.01)
UTG ($14.08)
Hero ($10.31)
CO ($13.27)
BTN ($3.85)

Dealt to Hero A:diamond: K:spade:

fold, Hero raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, fold, fold, fold

FLOP ($0.75) 2:spade: 6:heart: K:heart:

Hero bets $0.50, CO calls $0.50

TURN ($1.75) 2:spade: 6:heart: K:heart: 3:club:

Hero bets $1.20, CO calls $1.20

RIVER ($4.15) 2:spade: 6:heart: K:heart: 3:club: A:spade:

Hero bets $2.50, CO raises to $11.27 (AI), Hero calls $5.81 (AI)

vpip: 27, pfr: 24, af: 1.6, WTS: 38%, 159 hands

Not sure about a call. i think he should raise sets and somethiung like that already earlier so i have no idea what is he shoving now. how do you think?


1 reply
veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello nktns,

For him being pretty tightish, I guess I'd rather Bet/Fold the river for the reason that we need like 28% to make it break-even. But for example against this range:

Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 23,529% 17,647% 11,765% 70,588% AdKs
Player 2: 76,471% 70,588% 11,765% 17,647% KK+, 66, 22, AKs, A6s, 54s, AKo, A6o, 54o

We ain't getting it. Therefore rather just folding it unless I have some other proofs or anything like that. We just can't take him as pretty passive guy and shove there with hands like TP. And he had?

Best regards.