Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $160(BB) Replayer
SB ($2,150)
BB ($2,180)
UTG ($6,735)
Hero ($1,390)
BTN ($1,045)
Dealt to Hero 5♦ 5♥
UTG calls $160, Hero push or fold?
UTG is 24/2/65hands.
Others are 15/11, 10/10 anc 14/8.
I am wondering what is the lowest pp here tu push.
I am bad with low pocket pair as well but you have less than 10 BB so I think 66+ seems great. I don't think pushing here with 55+ is a mistake either.
yea I think I push 55+ as well... it's reallly close tho.. Depends heavily on any reads we can collect on our opponent here...
Seems a bit too loose for me, need to go through 4 guys (one being a big fish who limped with a huuuuge stack) and we have close to 9bb.
Hi all,
I feel we have enough fold equity here to push at least 44+. Possibly 22+ with reads.
[12:51:58 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: ♦
[12:52:17 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: peeps fold here a lot
[12:52:24 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: scarier if his pre stats were like 12/0
[12:52:46 PM] <3: true but hes got a 7k stack and you have 8bbs with a high risk aversion
[12:53:07 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: not that risk averse
[12:53:11 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: we're clear 4th place
[12:53:25 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: picking up the blinds is nice
[12:53:27 PM] <3: still pretty high 5 handed 8bbs EP
[12:53:30 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: and i feel we're going to pretty often
[12:53:56 PM] <3: UTG is 24/2/65hands.
[12:54:08 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: ?
[12:54:15 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: more weak hands in his range
[12:54:20 PM] <3: 2 PFR!
[12:54:23 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: i mean if he's limping a hand like 87s he's not going to then limp/call
[12:54:24 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: yea
[12:54:28 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: that's much better than if he had 0
[12:54:40 PM] <3: im wizzing it now lol
[12:55:00 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: go ahead
[12:55:08 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: take out AK, AA and KK from his range to amke up for the 2%
[12:55:13 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: then give him a 8% call range, so calling 2-8%
[12:56:01 PM] <3: wiz says 88+ AQ+
[12:56:08 PM] <3: with 25% open limp
[12:56:16 PM] <3: removing AA/KK
[12:56:29 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: and AK?
[12:56:31 PM] <3: yeh
[12:56:41 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: gotta remove either JJ+ or QQ+, AK to accuont for the massive 2% PFR
[12:56:50 PM] <3: removed JJ+ AQ+
[12:56:51 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: what's 8% callrange?
[12:56:54 PM] <3: still a fold
[12:57:02 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: what's his callrange? in terms fo hands
[12:57:03 PM] <3: 66+ AJ+
[12:57:10 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: hm
[12:57:12 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: ups
[12:57:17 PM] <3: lol
[12:57:22 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: i expect him to call wider than that too
[12:57:26 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: i guess 24% isn't enough openlimp
[12:57:34 PM] <3: gets worse if he calls wider
[12:57:38 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: if it was 50/2 with the same callranges then we can push ATC i imagine
[12:57:45 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: yea obviously ♦
[12:57:53 PM] <3: BE @ 38% open limp
[12:57:57 PM] <3: discounting JJ+ AQ+
[12:58:26 PM] <3: its 35% push if hes 50/2
[12:58:37 PM] <3: risk aversionnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
[12:58:54 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: yea
[12:58:59 PM] chenny8888/hav0c: i'm also ok with taking slightly -ev pushes here
[12:59:08 PM] <3: yeh -0.1 maybe
[12:59:12 PM] <3: which makes 66 good
[12:59:16 PM] <3: but 55 still is -0.5
[12:59:24 PM] <3: with 30% open 9% call
[12:59:45 PM] <3: 8bbs.
[12:59:48 PM] <3: still so many more profitable spots
[12:59:53 PM] <3: vs direct opponents
[1:00:01 PM] <3: not a good spot to deviate from wiz too much imo
