Originally posted by ronekinky
This seemed like a supernit. Stats was 11/9/3,0 after 70 hands. Decided to make a tight fold and i have no idea if it was the correct play? AJ checks behind probably..
Full Tilt - 100/200 NL RUSH - Holdem - 9 players
BTN: 10,120.00
SB: 27,690.00
BB: 6,286.00
UTG: 31,372.00
Hero (UTG+1): 17,734.00
MP: 25,594.00
MP+1: 17,533.00
LP: 18,880.00
CO: 8,935.00
BTN posts ante 20.00, SB posts ante 20.00, BB posts ante 20.00, UTG posts ante 20.00, Hero posts ante 20.00, MP posts ante 20.00, MP+1 posts ante 20.00, LP posts ante 20.00, CO posts ante 20.00, SB posts SB 100.00, BB posts BB 200.00
Pre Flop: (480.00) Hero has 9♠ A♠
fold, Hero calls 200.00, fold, fold, LP calls 200.00, CO calls 200.00, fold, fold, BB checks
Flop: (1080.00, 4 players) 9♥ A♦ Q♣
BB checks, Hero bets 700.00, LP calls 700.00, CO calls 700.00, fold
Turn: (3180.00, 3 players) 7♣
Hero bets 1,599.00, fold, CO calls 1,599.00
River: (6378.00, 2 players) 6♣
Hero checks, CO bets 3,555.00, fold
Okay first off - don't limp.
If you like A9s (I don't) then bet and if you get callers, you have a reasonable idea of their hands.
As played villain may be a nit, but his pre-flop raise stat is good, so I am guessing he would raise with AQ & 99.
So with A9 on a rainbow board you are well ahead.
However, now we have a problem - as you limped in his pre-flop his range could be huge and with no money in the pot, he can hang around with Ax, 2
or low pair trying to make a decent hand - T♣ J♣ or 77, 66 are all dangerous later on.
As it stands he may not have a flush or a set, he might have 2 pair As and 7s or As and 6s, or he might have Ax and thought you had QJ chasing a OESD - his bet might just be to test that fact and win before showdown.
As played I would have bet more on the turn and put a stop bet in on the river.
Personally though I would be wary of set mining and AJ, AT, pairing on later streets, so I would bet the pot on the flop and the turn. If he is still with me by the river then I would know I was beaten and it would be an easy fold.
Moral of the story is raise or fold preflop
Cheers
Jass ♦