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[Closed] $6 ATs bubble 500/1000

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Proky11
Joined: 05.10.2009

$500/$1000 No-Limit Hold'em (4 handed)

Known players:
[tg]CO$645.00:///////;BU$2470.00:///////;SB (Hero)$1005.00:///////;BB$9380.00:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is SB with T:c, A:c.
3 folds, 2 folds, Hero folds, BB gets uncalled bet back.
Final Pot: $500.

Future scenarios are important here. CO is bubbling out first so is my fold +EV?


2 replies
Proky11
Joined: 05.10.2009

bump


so sorry again proky for missing these hands.

this is TOUGH. really tough....

problem is that we dont have a huge lead over the CO. so if he wins the next hand when he is auto-allin. or the BB gives him a walk we are in trouble.

these spots are SO hard to analyze using ICM programs because of how badly the model equates these micro stacks. We have done some raw analysis in past hands on these forums and discovered it is possible to shove a few non-paired hands like ATs-AK because our equity advantage over the CO isnt enormous.

So i think the decision between getting it in and folding is always going to be so close, and way too hard to quantify. Id fold as well fwiw, but im honestly not sure whats best and I dont think anyone can quantify it mathematically.