[NL2-NL10] NL10 flush, river decision

    • aciddrop
      aciddrop
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.10.2006 Posts: 1,519
      Villain is tight/passive, 14/9, aggr 0.7. Seems to have showdown value, maybe pairs 66-TT, maybe Ah8x or similar. This would seem to make the river a bet/fold, would you agree?


      No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      UTG ($6.05)
      UTG+1 ($13.59)
      MP1 ($6.62)
      MP2 ($10)
      Hero (MP3) ($18.19)
      CO ($4.64)
      Button ($11.40)
      SB ($9.45)
      BB ($4)

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J, J
      1 fold, UTG+1 bets $0.30, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.30, 1 fold, Button calls $0.30, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.05) 5, 4, 8 (3 players)
      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.70, Button calls $0.70, 1 fold

      Turn: ($2.45) 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.50, Button calls $1.50

      River: ($5.45) 6 (2 players)
      Hero ???
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello aciddrop,

      As you said he is tight/passive. Then ask yourself, what worse will Call on river? What's his WTSD? And does he like ever bet the river with worse?

      And even likely from the 1st question we could likely consider what our action is going to be. For example he has somewhat bigger WTSD value then we can more often consider going for the block-bet/fold. But if he rather is passive with the WTSD value as well then rather just Check/Fold because I don't expect him to bet there with worse either or turn his hand into bluff. Basically just right now, I guess without seeing his WTS or knowing how light he is capable of calling I'd basically Check/Fold the river and skip the thin value while I don't expect him to bet with worse either. One option would be as well to bet a bit bigger on turn like $1,80 and let it be then.

      Best regards.