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[Closed] NL25 QKs v turn shove on wet board

2 Posts
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Millsyuk
Joined: 08.06.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($11.04)
BB ($10.70)
UTG ($21.42)
UTG+1 ($17.62)
UTG+2 ($25.86)
MP1 ($25)
Hero ($25.04)
CO ($29.87)
BTN ($35.48)

Dealt to Hero Q♥ K♥

fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.75, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.75, fold, fold, fold, fold

FLOP ($1.85) J♠ 9♥ Q♣

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1.25, UTG+1 calls $1.25

TURN ($4.35) J♠ 9♥ Q♣ 3♣

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $3, UTG+1 raises to $15.62 (AI), Hero folds

UTG+1 wins $9.85

Villain is 24/15/2 cbet 67 over 41 hands.

As soon as I folded this I wish I'd called. The way he played it just seems like he has to have something like AK, AJ, AT, KJ, JT, T9 of clubs. Against this range I have around 66% equity.

Only hands that currently beat me are AA, AQ, KK, QQ, QJ, JJ, 99 plus Q9, Q3, J9, T8 and 33 which are probably not even in his range anyway. Why would you check any of these on the flop on a board like this.

Don't know if I'm overthinking this against this sort of opponent??

Thanks


1 reply

I´ve not seen that line taking with overpairs and most of the times they should c/c or c/f, so I think b/c turn against midstack should be fine.
He likely has there rather pair+draw or just some combo draw than straight, two pairs or set