[NL20-NL50] NL25 QKs v turn shove on wet board

    • Millsyuk
      Millsyuk
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.06.2009 Posts: 435
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($11.04)
      BB ($10.70)
      UTG ($21.42)
      UTG+1 ($17.62)
      UTG+2 ($25.86)
      MP1 ($25)
      Hero ($25.04)
      CO ($29.87)
      BTN ($35.48)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: K:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.75, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.75, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($1.85) J:spade: 9:heart: Q:club:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1.25, UTG+1 calls $1.25

      TURN ($4.35) J:spade: 9:heart: Q:club: 3:club:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $3, UTG+1 raises to $15.62 (AI), Hero folds

      UTG+1 wins $9.85

      Villain is 24/15/2 cbet 67 over 41 hands.

      As soon as I folded this I wish I'd called. The way he played it just seems like he has to have something like AK, AJ, AT, KJ, JT, T9 of clubs. Against this range I have around 66% equity.

      Only hands that currently beat me are AA, AQ, KK, QQ, QJ, JJ, 99 plus Q9, Q3, J9, T8 and 33 which are probably not even in his range anyway. Why would you check any of these on the flop on a board like this.

      Don't know if I'm overthinking this against this sort of opponent??

      Thanks
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I´ve not seen that line taking with overpairs and most of the times they should c/c or c/f, so I think b/c turn against midstack should be fine.
      He likely has there rather pair+draw or just some combo draw than straight, two pairs or set