[NL20-NL50] NL SH AQ CO vs BTN

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,072
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($19.94)
      BB ($4.40)
      UTG ($3.68)
      UTG+1 ($7.80)
      Hero ($21.21)
      BTN ($10.93)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: A:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.60, BTN raises to $2.20, fold, fold, fold

      BTN wins $1.50

      68/32/1.6
      3bet 9.1 (11)
      hands 36

      sample is not too big but from this position he is bluffing like 90% of the time. Just didn't know what to do so folded. If I call, I am OOP, and it is hard to play. So maybe I should 4bet/push, because its 55 bb only?
      Against full stack what should I do? 4bet/fold? Call 3bet OOP?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think it is easy to solve using equilator :)
      You can always fold oop and take your -3bb loss.
      Another option would be shove and take +11.8bb win if he folds or if he calls then hope that you´re ahead enough times or at least flipping to make shove profitable.

      Against 9% you´re basically flipping

      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AQ 47.72% 1,063,434,468 278,750,188
      9% 52.28% 1,178,326,832 278,750,188

      So you can´t go wrong by shoving there, but I think his 3-bet range is definitely wider on the BU consider his stats: 68/32. Smt like 20% would likely be reasonable:

      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AQ 58.11% 3,290,577,200 360,085,448
      20% 41.89% 2,321,853,704 360,085,448

      Against that range AQ is way ahead that shove should be mandatory.
      Ip I might call, but oop you just face too much difficult situations, so I like shove more than calling or folding.
      If you decide to call to keep in his dominated hands, I would play for stacks on Axx and Qxx boards

      Against full stack what should I do?
      - If you 4-bet, you should 4-bet/call for value, but I think AQ is too strong to turn it into bluff so I´d personally would just call oop and play aggressively my tptk postflop. He has there enough worse hands, that would stack off, if I raise on Axx or Qxx boards