$15 AKs vs 22bb eff. open-shove

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Last Post by _Anonymous_ 15 years ago

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Proky11

Joined: 05.10.2009

Posts: 1,407

11.11.2011, 14:20 0

Poker Stars $13.89+$1.11 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25/t50 Blinds - 9 players - View hand 1514023
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

MP2: t2761 55.22 BBs
CO: t190 3.80 BBs
BTN: t1355 27.10 BBs
Hero (SB): t1535 30.70 BBs
BB: t1570 31.40 BBs
UTG: t1470 29.40 BBs
UTG+1: t1120 22.40 BBs
UTG+2: t2335 46.70 BBs
MP1: t1164 23.28 BBs

Pre Flop: (t75) Hero is SB with K :diamond: A
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t1120 all in, 5 folds, Hero raises to t1535 all in, 1 fold

Flop: (t2290) 4 :spade: Q :heart: 4 :diamond: (2 players - 2 are all in)

Turn: (t2290) 3 :spade: (2 players - 2 are all in)

River: (t2290) 8 :diamond: (2 players - 2 are all in)

Villain is unknown.
Do you think his range has enough worse Aces to justify our call?
If he do this with any pair - is it still call?

"I treat poker as a hobby. And that's the best solution I could ever find."

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3 replies

_Anonymous_

13.11.2011, 22:48 0

call. he has dominated hands in his range. AJ/ATs etc.

if you think he only ever does this with 22-TT then just run an equity calc with AKs v that range and use ICM explorer to determine how much eq you need to call. i suspect its still a call with AKs.

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_Anonymous_

14.11.2011, 00:45 0

Equity needed: 51.22%
Chip odds: 47.24%
Risk premium: 3.98%

       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    52.00%  51.77%   0.24% { TT-22 }
MP3    48.00%  47.76%   0.24% { AKs }

       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    43.88%  38.64%   5.25% { TT-22, ATs+, AJo+ }
MP3    56.12%  50.87%   5.25% { AKs }

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_Anonymous_

15.11.2011, 18:56 0

guess u can argue a fold if u know for certain hes only doing this with small pairs. but yeah i dont like folding here, ever.

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