[NL2-NL10] NL100: AQ / gutshot on the flop

    • 098799
      Joined: 23.07.2007 Posts: 1,245
      Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)        

      0.50/1 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.9 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with A:spade: , Q:diamond:
      Hero raises to $4.00, 4 folds, MP3 calls $4.00, 4 folds.

      Flop: ($9.50) 3:spade: , 2:club: , 5:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $6, MP3 raises to $27.00, Hero raises to $16.00 (All-In).

      Turn: ($52.50) Q:club:
      River: ($52.50) 3:heart:

      Final Pot: $52.50

      MP3 liked to call many hands. On the flop I had A gutshot and two clean overs - thought so. And still he's raising, so he may have low pocket pair - yet an overpair at the moment. Probably if I wanted to call it was better to just push flop, but still I had decent odds on calling and with that many outs I was assuming myself on the lead.

      Please, critisize my reasoning ;) .

      Edit: Oh, by the way, while looking at my hands after a session I often find some funny things like raising AQo from utg. Wrong. Fold preflop. I know.

  • 1 reply
    • xylere
      Joined: 27.05.2007 Posts: 2,939
      you need 36% equity to call here. you can call profitable only against 77-99, and broadway suited cards. Other hands beat you (quite a big part of his range) 22-66, A2-A5 and some other possible combos

      So even your gutshot outs are not always clean...
      I would fold here.