NL100 J6s

The question is why he's betting so small on the turn.
This is either a nutflush that doesn't want to scare us, or a set that tries to give itself good odds.
I'm raising small for value vs the sets ($32).
In case he shoves we have an easy fold, if he calls we can be more or less sure he has a set (maybe the occasional AQ with the A of hearts) so our riverplay is easy.

As played I'm folding the river because it looks an awful lot like he's trying to maximize value - not only vs a low flush, but potentially even vs Qx.

Originally posted by Bierbaer
In case he shoves we have an easy fold, if he calls we can be more or less sure he has a set (maybe the occasional AQ with the A of hearts) so our riverplay is easy.

Is it really an esay fold if he shoves? Don't you think he could overplay a set from time to time, and a worse flush? (T8s,75s,76s,87s)

As played, I agree it's a fold. But I ended up calling anyway (stupid fish!!) and he had the nutflush.

(T8s,75s,76s,87s) should all be in fold-or-3bet mode pre.

Even against a 2.25bb open raise? Personally I call much lighter against those small raises.

.I only do that if I plan of bluffing a lot postflop.
With f.e. 87s you're an underdog even vs a 90% range:

       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    54.13%  52.12%   2.01% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+, 62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, A2o+, K2o+, Q2o+, J2o+, T2o+, 93o+, 84o+, 74o+, 64o+, 53o+ }
MP3    45.87%  43.86%   2.01% { 87s }

Ofc we have the equity to call preflop, but the playability is not too great and we're OOP, so I much rather 3bet.