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[Closed] Interesting hands from 04/30 SSS Adv. Coaching

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xarry2
Joined: 02.01.2007

Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)        
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/pfr/af/wts/ats/foldbb/w$sd;BU$956:391/21/7/3.5/22/41/15/47;Hero$275:///////;[/tg]
5/10 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.9 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with K♥, K♣
2 folds, Hero raises to $40.00, 4 folds, BU calls $40.00, 2 folds.

Flop: ($95.00) 6♥, J♣, 7♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $60, BU calls $60.00.

Turn: ($215.00) 4♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, BU bets $70, Hero raises to $175.00 (All-In), BU calls $105.00.

River: ($565.00) 2♠

Final Pot: $565.00

further BU stats: fold to cbet 54%, turn aggression 3.7

Preflop I raise my Kings and I get called by the loose BU. Flop cbet is standard play. After the flopcall my opponent will still have a big range of hands since he doesn't fold to a cbet very often. Moreover he could try to float me.
If I push now BU will fold many worse hands. Since the board is quite dry this is a perfect spot for a c/r all-in. I give BU the opportunity to make a bet with many marginal hands or pure bluffs that would have otherwise folded. Of course BU should be aggressive so that I don't give freecards to often. But even if it's not a big problem since there aren't so many outs against me. As always when we deviate from our standard line it should be well deceived. A check on the turn symbolizes (AQ) or AK which make up the biggest part of our UTG open raising range - and it looks like we have given up the hand which will motivate our opponent to make a bet even more.

Usually I don't post results but here we have a very decent outcome which shows what our deviation can do. I can't imagine that he would have called my push with this hand.

Results follow (highlight to see):
BU shows [ Tc, Ts ] a pair of Tens
Hero shows [ Kh, Kc ] a pair of Kings
Hero wins $562 USD with a pair of Kings.

Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)          
keine.

1/2 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.9 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is BB with J♠, J♣
UTG calls $2.00, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to $9.00, MP1 calls $9.00, 4 folds, SB calls $8.00, Hero raises to $34.00 (All-In), UTG folds, UTG+2 raises to $41.60 (All-In), MP1 folds, SB calls $32.60.

Flop: ($128.20) 4♠, 7♦, K♣
Turn: ($128.20) 6♥
River: ($128.20) Q♠

Final Pot: $128.20

UTG+2 is a SSSP. However I think that we have a profitable reraise here due to the dead money. Many shorties on higher limits deviate from the SHC - even in UTG. Thats why I would give him either TT+,AK or even TT+, AQ+.

Our EV if he calls our push with 100% (TT+,AK) is:

EV = 56$*0.432 - 32$*0.568 = ~ 6$

Our EV if he calls our push with 100% (TT+,AQ) is:

EV = 56$*0.468 - 32$*0.532 = ~ 9.2$

Even with rake both situations stay +EV. If UTG2 folds some hands we will also make good profit through the dead money which is already in the pot. If other players call the ALL-In it gets even better since they won't have a better hand than ours (QQ+) very often. It is of course key that UTG2 raises looser than JJ+, AK and that there's so much dead money.
In order to proove the range you can take a look at your pokertracker database (position stats) and analyze your opponents. Just take a look at the hands they play from UTG and make a note about their range.


1 reply
Nunki
Joined: 25.10.2006

Thanks for another interesting post Xarry2.


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