Hello,
$1.50 9 Man Sng Turbo at PokerStars
Starting Stacks $1500
1500 Chips x 9 players = $13500 Chips Total in Play
TOP 3 Get Paid - Standard SNG Payout
4 Players left
Blinds 100/200 - No Ante Yet
Hero:$2500
Button:$1000
SB:$7200
BB:$2800
Hero is Dealt A :spade:Q ![]()
Hero Raises 3x to $600.00
Button Folds
SB 3-Bet Pushes all In for $7200
BB Folds
Hero Folds
Now, I normally do not fold AQ since it's not a bad hand, but I had to force myself to fold this hand. My reasons are that even though the SB is a very loose player based on past experiences and I have seen him push a lot with A-X suited and small to medium pocket pairs and hands like KQ and such. I felt that I should fold because another player has a smaller chip stack than me and is more than likely going to bust.
In addition, I read an article about ICM stating that calling an all-in with hands like AK is considered -EV if it costs you your tournament life. I agree somewhat with this statement, but to each their own.
I felt that he was either pushing with a pocket pair, most likely a medium pair. Therefore I was pretty much racing since AQ is a little under 45% in some cases and over 45% in other cases. I did think he could of had a hand like AK and him pushing was probably a standard play with AK.
With AK, I would be an underdog - About 25%
With AJ,10 I would be a favourite - about 69% - 70%
With hands like KJ,KQ,QJ - about 73%
With hands like QQ,JJ,KK,AA - A little under 28% and 6% against Aces
With Hands like 55 to 10,10 - About a 45% underdog
I did fold this hand and the short stack busted on the bubble by me and I ended up winning the tournament. I was just wondering what everyone's opinion on this matter is. Did I make a good play by folding and preserving my chips or should I have called and take the risk for a dominating chip lead?
Thanks,
Maythany