this is against the same guy who ive been beating up pretty good, for about 200 hands now hes down like 2 stacks just at this table alone.
vpip/pfr/3bet/agg/hands/wts/w$@SD
villain:
31/21/7/1.57/192/47/41
my stats:
54/43/18/4.38/185/26/50
i decide to flat his 3bet here because implied odds seem good and im ip with suited broadway. 3 handed this is a good spot to call a 3bet.
i hit the flop like i wanted, making top pair good kicker. i decide calling his 3/4 bet here is fine, with no draws availible and he would probably vbet his entire range here anyways. he cbets nicely (10/15 or 67%), so raising here isnt good ever imo. i can just fold to a big bet on turn if my hand goes to shit.
i pick up a nice card on the turn, which gives me TP+gutshot, i decide to call another bet and reevaluate the river. he could have me beat easily now if he has QQ KK or AA or even AQ. i still think hes cabable of the odd bluff.
He checks the river, i know im good. i just cant decide what the right bet is on that street. opinions? he likes to see showdowns. since he folds here im pretty sure he couldve been bluffing with AJs or even AKo AKs.
PartyGaming - $0.04 NL - Holdem - 3 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
Hero (BTN): $14.93
SB: $5.84
BB: $10.44
SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.04
Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has Q♦ J♦
Hero raises to $0.12, SB raises to $0.38, fold, Hero calls $0.26
Flop: ($0.80, 2 players) Q♠ 8♥ 7♣
SB bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60
Turn: ($2.00, 2 players) T♦
SB bets $1.20, Hero calls $1.20
River: ($4.40, 2 players) 9♥
SB checks, Hero bets $1.45, fold
Hero wins $4.18