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[Closed] Justice, finally?

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superstar84
Joined: 24.04.2006

**** Hand 1 **

Poker Stars
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
5 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (5 players) unluckywarrior is CO with 3♥ 3♦
UTG folds, unluckywarrior raises, Button folds, SB 3-bets, BB folds, unluckywarrior calls.

Flop: 8♦ J♥ 5♦ (7SB, 2 players)
SB bets, unluckywarrior calls.

Turn: A♠ (4.5BB, 2 players)
SB bets, unluckywarrior raises, SB calls.

Good spot for a free showdown raise? I could get 9s, 10s, 7s to fold and protect against Gutshots. Easy fold to a 3bet.

River: A♥ (8.5BB, 2 players)
SB checks, unluckywarrior checks.

Results:
Final pot: 8.5BB

* Hand 2 *****

Poker Stars
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
5 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (5 players) unluckywarrior is SB with 9♥ K♣
UTG calls, CO folds, Button calls, unluckywarrior calls, BB raises, UTG calls, Button calls, unluckywarrior calls.

Flop: 2♣ 9♠ 2♠ (8SB, 4 players)
unluckywarrior bets, BB raises, 2 folds, unluckywarrior calls.

Turn: Q♥ (6BB, 2 players)
unluckywarrior checks, BB bets, unluckywarrior calls.

River: J♠ (8BB, 2 players)
unluckywarrior checks, BB checks.
C/C or C/F river?

Results:
Final pot: 8BB

Thank you :)


5 replies
Yoghi
Joined: 10.09.2007

In 1 the only gutshot he can have is KQ. I think I would just fold the flop, and now on the turn the A hits him so hard that I don't think this is a good move.

I think I fold this preflop. Check/raise the flop, he's gonna cbet every hand that he raises preflop with. I think I would still call the river, as they play some weaker hands the same way, pot is too big to fold here.


frzl
Joined: 25.04.2006

1) i agree

2) preflop is fine imo. not the best hand to play oop but the odds are just too tempting i guess :)


superstar84
Joined: 24.04.2006

1) http://www.PokerStrategy.com
Operation abgebrochen... 6,925,257 Spiele in 7 Sekunden berechnet.

Board: Jh 8d 5d
Dead:

Equity Gewonnen UnentschiedenVerloren Hand
Spieler 1: 40.437 % 40.037 % 0.800 % 59.163 % 3h3d
Spieler 2: 59.563 % 59.163 % 0.800 % 40.037 % 22+, A7s+, KTs+, QJs, ATo+, KQo

on the flop, so defintely no fold on the flop :)

On the turn,
Operation abgebrochen... 15,653,377 Spiele in 16 Sekunden berechnet.

Board: As Jh 8d 5d
Dead:

Equity Gewonnen UnentschiedenVerloren Hand
Spieler 1: 18.549 % 18.191 % 0.716 % 81.093 % 3h3d
Spieler 2: 81.451 % 81.093 % 0.716 % 18.191 % 22+, A7s+, KTs+, QJs, ATo+, KQo

we do have a fold here. We cannot condense villiain's range further because he will bet with his full range once again because the A is a scarecard.

Question is, is the foldequity against better hands big enough to justify a free showdown raise? Calling is definitely no option.

2) I expect to get raised here quite lightly, so I basically donk for protection because there are a lot of cards I do not want to see on the turn and river: if we are still 3 or 4 handed, which we will after a c/r, basically every overcard kills my hand, and I still do not know what to do if I get raised because the pot will be quite big by then.

To sum it up, I do not want to play a big multiway pot and basically commit myself to see a sd with such a week made hand.


1) I would give him this range:

Board: Jh 8d 5d
Dead:

Equity Gewonnen UnentschiedenVerloren Hand
Spieler 1: 37.876 % 37.833 % 0.086 % 62.082 % 3h3d
Spieler 2: 62.124 % 62.082 % 0.086 % 37.833 % 44+, A5s+, KTs+, QJs, A8o+, KJo+

Still a call. Never expected that so I didn't even thought about equilating it. :)

Now the bad part (the turn):

Board: As Jh 8d 5d
Dead:

Equity Gewonnen UnentschiedenVerloren Hand
Spieler 1: 12.939 % 12.939 % 0.000 % 87.061 % 3h3d
Spieler 2: 87.061 % 87.061 % 0.000 % 12.939 % 44+, A5s+, KTs+, QJs, A8o+, KJo+

Our equity dropped a lot.

It's hard to say if a raise would make sense. Without reads (as you haven't posted stats) and with such a low equity I just fold and search a better spot.
If he is able to fold a lot (even high pocketpairs) then it could be ok to do so but these opponents are rare.

2) Donking the flop is fine. It's a decision you have to do on your own. Check/raising has slightly more value but will increase your variance a lot. I donked this as well a while ago. But I saw stoxtrader playing the check/raise here so I copied that from him. :)


superstar84
Joined: 24.04.2006

Thank you very much. Keep up the good work! *thumpsup*