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[NL2-NL10] Nl 10 Aa

    • 0744379
      Joined: 02.06.2011 Posts: 435
      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (UTG): $10 (100 bb)
      BB: $9.34 (93.4 bb)
      MP: $10 (100 bb)
      BTN: $10 (100 bb)
      SB: $3.55 (35.5 bb)
      CO: $10.60 (106 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
      Hero raises to $0.40, MP calls $0.40, 4 folds

      Flop: ($0.95) Q Q J (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.70, MP calls $0.70

      Turn: ($2.35) K (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.12, MP calls $1.12

      River: ($4.59) 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.18, MP raises to $4.36, Hero calls $2.18

      $13.31 pot ($0.66 rake)
      Final Board: Q Q J K 7
      Hero mucked A A and lost (-$6.58 net)
      MP showed K Q and won $12.65 ($6.07 net)

      Villain 53/12 for 60 hands
      I should have folded river but was getting pretty good odds even though the only hands I think I beat are Kx hands. What do you think of the rest of my play?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588

      Preflop: looks good

      Flop: Our cbet is fine, we still have the best hand and worse hands that can call.

      Turn: Now that the Kx came down and some draws made it (T9, AT) can we expect him to call with much worse?

      His range is made up of Qx, Jx and some Kx like KT/K9.

      So another barrel, even small, is a bit light however against a fish you may even get called by A high.

      River: I feel that if we bet the turn here betting river again is also very light and should always be a bet/fold. Alternatively, and I like this option more, I would check fold. Villain would almost always bet value (str, trips, fullhouse) and rarely bluff (his bluff range is small).

      You might be getting good odds but we still need to be good 17% of the time. What worse do we really see raising here?