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6max. shorty w/FD + overcard vs shove on flop

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Whysoseriouz
Joined: 07.05.2011
Oldschool Grinder

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $50(BB) Replayer
Hero ($1,085)
BB ($2,035)
UTG ($2,600)
CO ($1,350)
BTN ($1,930)

Dealt to Hero A♥ 2♥

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $125, BB calls $75

FLOP ($250) 4♥ 4♦ J♥

Hero bets $120, BB raises to $850, Hero raises to $960 (AI), BB calls $110

I still have 16-17bb if i fold vs flop raise, but i'm shorty. I'm calculating i need about 40% chip equity for the call. With ICM tax probably a bit more. (840 chips in a 2060 chip pot)

Vs a range like 44-99, KJs, QJs,J6s+, KJo, J6o+ I get about 42% equity.

Is this a good call?

villain is 38/6 in 17 hands


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3 replies
Anto11
Joined: 25.02.2011
PokerStrategist

Hello Whysoseriouz,

Preflop:

OK.

Flop:

C-bet is fine. After villain is pushing it is a close situation. I think he rarely got a J here. Mostly he got flush draw, 4, pockets and some aces. Against his range we are OK. With the money in the mid we can call. Its not the best situation, but call is fine.

Ако имаш каквито и да е въпроси, не се колебай да пишеш в тази тема, като натиснеш бутона "Помоли анализатора да погледне тази ръка отново!"

Best regards,
Antoan :pokerface:


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Whysoseriouz Topic starter
Whysoseriouz
Joined: 07.05.2011
Oldschool Grinder

for those who dont understand bulgarian....Antoan wrote:

If you have any questions, do not hesitate to write in this topic, click the "Ask the analyst to look at this hand again!"

Translated by some crappy online translator....

thnx for the comments Judge!


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Anto11
Joined: 25.02.2011
PokerStrategist

Hi,

Sorry my bad. Wrong language :) .

Best regards,
Antoan :pokerface:


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