[Closed] NL100, AQs

Hand discussions for No Limit

Last Post by 098799 18 years ago

5 Posts

3 Users

0 Reactions

322 Views

RSS

_Anonymous_

26.08.2008, 20:02 0

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;BB$100.00:31/3 /3 /-/100 /0 /0 /100 ;Hero$20.00:///////;[/tg]
0.5/1 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.60 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is CO with A♦, Q♦. Hero posts a blind of $1.00.
6 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, 2 folds, BB raises to $20.00, Hero raises to $20.00 (All-In).

Flop: ($40.50) 2♦, 2♠, 7♠
Turn: ($40.50) 6♥
River: ($40.50) 5♠

Final Pot: $40.50

I'm thinking he puts me on a steal hand, he could re-raise here with AJ, KQ, AT and any pockets, I think I have enough equity to call.

4 replies

veriz

Joined: 20.07.2008

Posts: 64,009

27.08.2008, 09:21 0

According to the stats villain has vp&ip=3, do you really think he is bluffing? SHC says fold so I would fold here. Lets wait for judges advice.

098799

Joined: 23.07.2007

Posts: 1,059

27.08.2008, 12:12 0

I'm not resteaing without stats by default. Here it's ok I think it's quite ok with AQs, since you're having 40% needed equity even against something like AQ+, 88+. But it won't be super efficient. I'd invest some money into datamining software instead :).

@veriz: these stats are inconclusive. Only 31 hands, as you can see...

veriz

Joined: 20.07.2008

Posts: 64,009

27.08.2008, 12:21 0

From how many hands should I start looking at the stats?

098799

Joined: 23.07.2007

Posts: 1,059

28.08.2008, 11:49 0

300 gives you quite ok overall picture, but they still cannot be taken as thoroughly certain. You know, I have one guy in my database with like 13k hands and he's nitty 6/3 which I don't really believe (how can someone have pfr at 3? and playing bss and not sss...).

But it's a rare case and I think from 1k up you can really trust your stats.