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[NL2-NL10] NL100, AQs

    • JonatanW
      JonatanW
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.03.2008 Posts: 71
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      BB:
      $100.00
      Hero:
      $20.00

      0.5/1 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.60 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A:diamond: , Q:diamond: . Hero posts a blind of $1.00.
      6 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, 2 folds, BB raises to $20.00, Hero raises to $20.00 (All-In).

      Flop: ($40.50) 2:diamond: , 2:spade: , 7:spade:
      Turn: ($40.50) 6:heart:
      River: ($40.50) 5:spade:


      Final Pot: $40.50

      I'm thinking he puts me on a steal hand, he could re-raise here with AJ, KQ, AT and any pockets, I think I have enough equity to call.
  • 4 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      According to the stats villain has vp&ip=3, do you really think he is bluffing? SHC says fold :P so I would fold here. Lets wait for judges advice.
    • 098799
      098799
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.07.2007 Posts: 1,245
      I'm not resteaing without stats by default. Here it's ok I think it's quite ok with AQs, since you're having 40% needed equity even against something like AQ+, 88+. But it won't be super efficient. I'd invest some money into datamining software instead :) .

      @veriz: these stats are inconclusive. Only 31 hands, as you can see...
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      From how many hands should I start looking at the stats?
    • 098799
      098799
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.07.2007 Posts: 1,245
      300 gives you quite ok overall picture, but they still cannot be taken as thoroughly certain. You know, I have one guy in my database with like 13k hands and he's nitty 6/3 which I don't really believe (how can someone have pfr at 3? and playing bss and not sss...).

      But it's a rare case and I think from 1k up you can really trust your stats.