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[NL2-NL10] NL10SH - mistake to push AK in this situation?

    • 4A888
      4A888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2007 Posts: 916
      PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      saw flop | saw showdown

      MP ($13.60) 46/9 35 hands
      Hero (CO) ($10.00)
      Button ($9.95)
      SB ($8.10) 29/19 59 hands
      BB ($9.75)
      UTG ($11.20) 27/16/0.7/28 70 hands

      Preflop: Hero is CO with K:club: A:spade:
      UTG raises to $0.40, MP calls $0.40, Hero raises to $1.60, 1 fold, SB raises to $4.60, 3 folds, Hero raises to $10.00 (All-In), SB calls $3.50 (All-In)

      Nice Action Preflop. UTG Raise, MP Coldcall and i'm 3betting with AKo. SB wakes up with a hand and 4bets.

      Let's have a look at the numbers:

      If i push and i give me no FE (he has only a quite small reststack), than i can win $10.6 and have to invest another $6.5. That means i need more than 61% Equity. It is very unlikely that i got this much Equity against his range, so pushing here was a mistake.
      Is this reasoning right?

      Edit: I think i made a mistake here. If i push my share of the $17.1 is $6.5. So i need 38% Equity. So this push is a marginal one against QQ+, AK (38.8%) and wrong against QQ+ (30.8%). Against a quite loose range of TT+, AQs+, AKo (42.8%) it would be good. So i think pushing here may be ok. But folding is the safer thing to do.

      Flop: ($17.10) 9:diamond: 8:diamond: 2:heart: (2 players, 2 all-in)

      Turn: ($17.10) 6:spade: (2 players, 2 all-in)

      River: ($17.10) A:club: (2 players, 2 all-in)

      Total pot: $17.10 | Rake: $0.85
  • 1 reply