[Closed] NL50 I have 9 outs here?

I wouldnt count deuses as Outs

Fold is a must in such situations or I am wrong? Lets see what judges advice.

Hi DaPhunk, I'm glad you ask questions if you think you have leaks in some topic,

and the answer on such flop is - you don't know. Why? Two things:

a. Every deuce makes a one-card wheel possible. With their limping range they might be able to have one easily, so I'm not counting deuces (bet once at most if I hit my deuce, fold to a raise).

b. Every diamond makes a flush, and still your oponents are likely to have a fd. So the same story - I don't like to invest whole stack on drawing dead hand, but a straight is a strong hand even on 3-suited board. It deserves a bet.

c. Every four is imo clean out.

But coming back to the actual hand, with such an overbet on the flop I'm not calling despite the number of my outs - 6 or 9, doesn't matter since I'm a dog :).

I would say UTG+2's range pre is all pps, SCs and Ax, with low AX and SC less frequent than pps and higher Ax.

This means his flop range consists of FDs, sets and A3, A4 for two pair. So the 4 isn't always a clean out, but usually you have 4 outs vs set or 8 outs vs FD, unless villain has 65dd. A five is actually unlikely, as the only 5x hand in his range is 65dd.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 31.641% 31.13% 00.51% 5547 91.50 { 4c2d }
Hand 1: 68.359% 67.85% 00.51% 12090 91.50 { AA, 44-33, QdJd, JdTd, Td9d, 9d8d, 7d6d, 6d5d, Ac4d, Ac4h, Ah4c, Ac3s, Ad3c, Ah3s, As3d, 8d7s }

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