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[NL2-NL10] NL25 AKs Stats 3bet

    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Known players:

      0,1/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.60 by

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A:diamond: , K:diamond:
      UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls $0,25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1,25, 3 folds, MP1 raises to $3,00, Hero ?

      Im having a hard time figuring out what a Limp/Raise means with those stats (17/4). Especially with AKs, I dont know where I am up to.
      As in mean Equity according to Xarry's Equity chart, I have 48% against a 4% range.
      Equity needed when pushing:
      (4.3-1.25) // Total Pot
      3.05 // 0.25+1.25+3
      3.05 // 4.5
      = 40% equity needed? I push $3.05 in order to win $4.5. or do I need 67% as I add up 1 when I divide 4.5 by 3.05 and then do it 'to the power of -1' to get the percentual equity.
  • 5 replies
    • Deidara
      Joined: 30.05.2007 Posts: 5,158
      You can´t use the PFR in this case because limp / reraise doesn´t affect the PFR. His first action was a limp, so after this hand only his VPIP will increase.

      His line and his stats indicate that he´s a trapper. That means he often limps or just coldcalls his premium hands, instead of raising / reraising them.

      So it´s hard to put him on an exact range. Most of the time you will flip against pocket pairs, but some bad players also play AK,KQ,AQ or even worse hands this way. You shoud always note the hands you see to exploit them.

      You need exactly 35,87% Equity to push.

      3,05 / ((4,3*2+0,35)*0,95) = 0,3587

      So as you can see it´s an easy push, because even against JJ+ you have the equity you need.
    • ysessa
      Joined: 11.07.2008 Posts: 1,331
      Hi Gerv,

      many people push pocket pairs here to generate fold equity and to get the flip preflop so its an easy call. I think your equity calculation is a little bit tough I like my calculation more^^ just your stack 4,3*2=8,6 your remaining stack is 3,15. so 3,15/8,6=0,366 so you need 36,6% equity eaaaaaaaaaasy call^^

      PS: SB and BB not added to calculation because of the rake.
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Thanks, 2:1 is always an autocall ^^
    • ToMMMekk
      Joined: 04.08.2008 Posts: 27
      Sorry for posting this here, but this forum does not have private messages so i have to ask somewhere to get answer :)

      @Gerv: How can i get stats like you have in first post during the game?
    • IngolPoker
      Joined: 05.09.2006 Posts: 10,484
      No, there are no PMs yet, but this will change in a few weeks :)

      Download the Elephant in the download sectino to keep track of your hands and get statistics.