Guess the hand and win $50! [deadline: 27/12/13]

    • MJPerry
      Joined: 03.10.2011 Posts: 4,908

      Usually you have to make snap, split-second decisions at the poker table but we're being generous and giving you a few days to guess what hands the below players are holding and why you think that. You have until Wednesday (when we will post a new hand) to make your guess.

      Guess The Hand competition: how to take part

      Check out the hand history below and use your knowledge to try and narrow down hero's range to one hand.

      Note that you must explain your thought process in choosing this hand; "random" guesses will not be considered. Each member is allowed one guess per hand - suits don't matter.

      New hands will be posted on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. For each correct hero's hand guess, you'll receive 2 tickets to a raffle.

      For each correct villain's hand guess, you'll receive one ticket - so you can win up to 27 tickets if you're really on the ball.

      When all 9 hands have been posted , all users who guessed correctly will be entered into a raffle and the winner will be drawn at random; three winners receive $50 in their Tell-a-Friend account.

      So, check out the hand and tell us what hero had and what villain held. Was anyone bluffing? Who do you think wins this pot?

      Good luck!

      The hand: 25/12/13 - 27/12/13

      - No more guesses -

      $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em [ZOOM]
      SB ($138.20)
      Hero ($334.12)
      UTG ($211)
      MP ($205.04)
      CO ($248.11)
      BTN ($220.04)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with ?? ??
      3 folds, BTN raises to $4, SB raises to $10, Hero calls $8, 1 fold

      Flop: ($24) 5 :club: , 5 :spade: , 6 :heart: (2 players)
      SB bets $20, Hero calls $20.

      Turn: ($64) K :spade: (2 players)
      SB bets $40, Hero calls $40.

      River: ($144) T :club: (2 players)
      SB bets $68, Hero calls $68.

      Total pot: $280

      SB shows A :club: Q :spade:
      Hero shows 9 :club: 9 :heart:

      The hand: 23/12/13 - 25/12/13

      No more guesses!

      $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em [ZOOM]
      SB ($334.10)
      BB ($49.94)
      UTG ($126.20)
      Hero ($110.22)
      CO ($139.46)
      BTN ($98.26)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with ?? ??
      1 fold, Hero raises to $2.70, 2 folds, SB calls $2.20, 1 fold

      Flop: ($6.40) 6 :club: , 5 :spade: , 2 :diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB calls $4.

      Turn: ($14.40) A :club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $9, SB calls $9.

      River: ($32.40) T (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $19.50, SB calls $19.50.

      Total pot: $71.40

      SB shows A :diamond: 7 :diamond:
      Hero shows 6 :diamond: 5 :diamond:

      The hand: 20/12/13 - 23/12/13

      - No more guessing! -

      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em
      SB ($36.75)
      BB ($51.15)
      UTG ($201.75)
      MP ($214.52)
      CO ($18.32)
      Hero ($139.29)

      3 folds, Hero raises to $1.10, 1 fold, BB calls $0.60

      Flop: ($2.45) 2, 9, 3 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, BB raises to $5.50, Hero calls $4.

      Turn: ($13.45) 7 (2 players)
      BB bets $9.50, Hero calls $9.50

      River: ($32.45) 2 (2 players)
      BB bets $35.05 (all-in), Hero calls $35.05.

      Total pot: $102.55

      MP shows 3 :club: 3 :diamond:
      Hero shows Q :spade: 9 :spade:

      The hand: 18/12/13 - 20/12/13

      - No more guesses! -

      $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em (ZOOM)
      Hero ($592.36)
      BB ($277.96)
      UTG ($504.92)
      MP ($203)
      CO ($140.88)
      BTN ($277.96)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with ?? ??
      1 fold, MP raises to $4, 2 folds, Hero raises to $16, 1 fold, MP calls $12

      Flop: ($34) A :heart: , 2 :diamond: , J :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP checks

      Turn: ($34) 7 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $18, MP calls $18

      River: ($70) T :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $40, MP calls $40

      Total pot: $150

      MP shows A :spade: 4 :spade:
      Hero shows K :heart: Q :spade:

      The hand: 16/12/13 - 18/12/13

      - No more guesses! -

      $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em (ZOOM)
      Hero ($226.48)
      BB ($486.48)
      UTG ($245.04)
      MP ($265.68)
      CO ($103.52)
      BTN ($252.32)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with ?? ??
      1 fold, MP raises to $6, 1 fold, BTN calls $6, Hero calls $5, 1 fold

      Flop: ($20) 9 :spade: , Q :club: , 5 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP checks, BTN checks

      Turn: ($20) J :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $14.40, MP raises to $40, 1 fold, Hero calls $25.60

      River: ($100) 3 :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $88, Hero calls $88

      Total pot: $276

      MP shows T 8
      Hero shows 9 9

      The hand: 11/12/13 - 13/12/13

      - No more guesses! -

      $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em (ZOOM)
      Hero ($173.30)
      BB ($100.70)
      UTG ($203.10)
      MP ($616.32)
      CO ($146.30)
      BTN ($128.52)

      3 folds, BTN raises to $2.50, Hero raises to $8.50, 1 fold, BTN calls $6

      Flop: ($18) K :spade: , J :diamond: , 4 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $5, Hero calls $5

      Turn: ($28) 6 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $17, Hero calls $17

      River: ($62) 7 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $98.02 (all-in), Hero calls $98.02

      Total pot: $258.04

      BTN shows T :spade: 9 :spade:
      Hero shows A :club: J :spade:

      The hand: 09/12/13 - 11/12/13

      - No more guesses! -

      $.25/$.50 No Limit Hold'em
      SB ($129.45)
      BB ($57.76)
      UTG ($146.61)
      MP ($54.40)
      CO ($203.61)
      Hero ($172.56)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with ?? ??
      UTG raises to $1.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $4.50, 2 folds, UTG calls $3

      Flop: ($9.75) 7 :club: , 8 :diamond: , J :spade: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $5.50, UTG raises to $16.67, Hero calls $11.17

      Turn: ($43.09) Q :club: (2 players)
      UTG bets $30.25, Hero calls $30.25

      River: ($103.59) A :diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $95.19 (all-in), Hero calls $95.19

      Total pot: $293.97

      UTG shows 9 :spade: 9 :diamond:
      Hero shows A :club: A :diamond:
  • 91 replies
    • MJPerry
      Joined: 03.10.2011 Posts: 4,908

      Remember guys, if you just post the hand without a thought process you won't win!
    • SeagalSteven
      Joined: 21.01.2010 Posts: 492
      Since there is no information about players, I think it's really a guessing game here. Would be nice to know, is utg fish, aggressive player, nit, loose, regular or what. Does he like to check-raise a lot, fold to 3bet etc.

      But on river considering the bet is 200bb, it would be a sick bluff-catch from hero with less than a set. I dont think hero has a straight, calling with KT otf would be too loose and if somehow holding T9 hero would shove turn as villain is repping a set and would not fold it. Hero is also 3-betting UTG opener, would be very loose with T9, but maybe hero thinks he can outplay utg deepstacks postflop?

      So when hero has a set, which set is it? Just guessing but hero would more likely call 77/88 preflop, and wouldn't call 200bb river with those hands. AA hero would fold ott. So it's QQ/JJ, no need to raise villain when smaller set's could still fold, and if against a straight hero still has outs. On the river JJ/QQ is too strong hand to muck, when only T9 or unlikely AA beats hero. I guess hero has QQ here.

      No idea what kind of a player utg here is.. Would be very loose to open utg - call-3bet oop w T9. On the other hand, is he really going AI 200bb with 77/88 or even with JJ on 3-bet flop where hero could easily have AA/QQ ?( Only worse hand calling (one out of million times) would be AQ, which would always fold otf to his check-raise. Let's say villain has JJ and just doesn't care :D

      Just waiting to see utg actually had T:club: 6:club: bluffing like a boss otr and hero bluff-catching him with KK :f_biggrin:
    • Flooooky
      Joined: 04.12.2013 Posts: 45
      I have only be playing poker for a short while so this may sound like bullshit...

      I'm going for Villain JJ and Hero QQ here, as the villain doesn't 4 bet oop so I am guessing he doesn't have AA, KK, QQ. I think the hand plays itself there after...

      Same as the guy above but oh well...(should read posts before posting Doh!)

    • Sarkov
      Joined: 09.02.2013 Posts: 97
      Hmm ok i have been out of poker for a while. I'll give it a try though.

      AJs for Hero hand and ATs for Villain hand.

      3bet preflop as usual we are in late position. We get initiative and position.

      Standard cbet on flop with top pair. Re raise on the flop by
      villain most likely he perceived our range as weak or he might raised straight draws. So hero will call as he is ahead.

      On the turn, Qx does not really help UTG range, so calling a bet is a good move, or if hero got a flush draw and decides to play passively.

      Hero rivered two pair on the river, and all draws looks busted, so calling the bet looks good. As he beats most two pairs or Ax.
    • Ramble
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 1,421
      From the mind of a non-cash game player... (you have been warned)

      I'm assuming both are decent players and assume that about each other as well.

      After the flop I think the ranges can be narrowed down to:
      :spade: Villain: JJ+, 88, 77, AJ (Villain isn't likely to raise pre-flop with T9 UTG, and not likely check-raising KT, TT, 99 on that flop.)
      :heart: Hero: JJ+, 88, 77 (Hero isn't likely to 3-bet pre-flop with less than a medium pair or a strong Ax hand, and would likely give up TPTK to the check-raise on the flop.)

      After the Turn:
      :spade: Villain: JJ+, 88, 77 (I remove AJ as I think villain would opt for a check-call or check-fold here. I am leaning towards QQ though, as up to this point he has been playing it strongly and then here bets a standard 2/3 pot-size bet. It looks to me like he is trying to get value - but he could be doing the same with any trips here.)
      :heart: Hero: QQ, JJ, 88, 77 (His call narrows it to a set...)

      After the River:
      :spade: Villain: QQ, JJ - If villain had 88 or 77, he may opt for a check-call or even check-fold here??? His bet seems like QQ or JJ.
      :heart: Hero: QQ, JJ - Hero can't fold here with JJ and of course doesn't want to fold QQ.

      Final Guess:
      :spade: Villain:QQ
      :heart: Hero:JJ (because I'm a pessimist and it's what would happen to me :facepalm: )
    • ArtySmokes
      Joined: 29.05.2011 Posts: 4
      Villain's hand is strong enough to call a 3-bet OOP (but possibly not strong enough to 4-bet) so pre-flop, it looks a lot like JJ/TT/AQ, although since stacks are deep, he could call with medium pairs or maybe AJs/KQs.
      Hero 3-bet vs an UTG open. This is unlikely to be a bluff, so I think he has a monster here. Hero's range is QQ+/AK. On the flop, hero makes a standard c-bet, which he'll do with his entire range, but on a Jxx rainnbow, it's a valuebet, looking to get called by QQ/TT/AJs. Villain check-raises, and I think we can discount bluffs with overcards. QQ and AJ would likely just call, so it looks like a set to me.
      Hero just calls the raise, which would usually mean he has AA and doesn't want to give up too soon. (He's beating QQ/TT/AJ). The Q on the turn means AA is now losing to a few more combos. Villain barrels and JJ seems the most likely holding. I would expect hero to fold KK/AA at this point, so it seems like he binked a 2-outer on the turn. There's no need to raise now (as that would also force any random bluffs to fold), so it's just a call down.

      I'm pretty sure this is set over set. I'll go with villain having JJ, hero with QQ, but I think the hand would play out in the same way if it was 88 and JJ.
    • ManiaculDinamovist
      Joined: 04.05.2011 Posts: 3,727
      I believe that hero has T9s of clubs. Why? Because it may be our bottom cold calling range against UTG, but it is also in some players' by default 3-bet bluff range. Even if we attack a stronger range, the idea is that we are not dominated in a 3-bet pot and we may 3-bet T9s against UTG as a bluff for playability and freerolling in 3-bet pots when we are called. I don't see our hero 3-betting AT or AJ in this spot. He may 3-bet AQ, besides the pure value range QQ+, AK, but may also 3-bet hands like T9s.

      To be realistic, I see 4 type of hands that our hero might have here: AQ, QQ, JJ, T9s. Of course it is also a guessing game, he could play all of them the same. I guess that QQ is bet/calling the flop also, JJ the same, because even if there are some draws left, we want to also mantain villain's weaker range in play. The only hand that might fold the flop is AQ, but I am not sure because villain is representing nothing in this spot. Anyways, let's take off AQ from our hero's range. It remains JJ, QQ, T9s.

      I have 33% pot odds for giving the final correct answer T9s, because I guess that there are small chances that maybe on the turn JJ, QQ may even go all in, so that no scary card would kill the action on the river and, second of all, because the board becomes way too drawy.

      On the other side, I guess T9s of clubs calls again the turn (no reason for raising) and calldowns basically any river.

      So, my final answer is T9s. I am very curious to see the result of the hand.

      On the other side, villain might flat our 3-bet with basically any pair for implied odds. But when he is check/raising that board I think he makes that move with JJ or QQ, because he is deep and wants to get value until reaching river. I am not sure even if he would have raised QQ, based on the fact that we are deep and we might also have a premium hand as AA, KK and it is ugly to raise/fold QQ on that board. So I guess that the only legitimate hand villain might have is JJ, which is raising the flop for value and protection.
    • aboesing
      Joined: 06.06.2008 Posts: 900
      First week, it should be easy...

      UTG raise in 6 hand, we have a 11% opening range, like 22+, ATs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo

      Our 3 bet from button, we can take a 6% range, like 77+, ATs+, KQs, AQo+

      For Villain call in advance, we can reduce his range to 6%, and we get 77+, AJs and AQ.

      In flop, utg go for a check - raise position, it should be a strong hand, and we got range JJ+,88-77,AJs

      Hero go for a standard raise, with all his range, but get raised, it makes his range reduce to

      In turn, UTG raise, and get QQ-JJ,88-77 range, and hero reduce his range to JJ,88

      In river, comes an ace, and push from utg are reduced to QQ only.
      Hero has reduced options, and only go with JJ.

      So, my guess is villain QQ and hero JJ.
    • Brdjan
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 243
      Preflop it looks standard for some middle to top pair, AK, AQ and suited conectors.
      On flop if villain had pair he chack raised with set, he would fold or call Ax, and only suited conector he would chack-raise and go to all in later is 9 10 but since he betted UTG it's less probable.
      Hero probably bet-calls with overpair and since he payed the river it can be QQ or AA.
      So I gona go with UTG JJ and Hero QQ
    • ferrari1f
      Joined: 06.11.2013 Posts: 142
      Well first of all, I'd like to point out that we should have a look at the stack sizes since they are- in my opinion - pretty crucial here.

      Villain opens from UTG which should give us a pretty standard opening range 6 MAX. Since we have no other information about the type of player villain is, let's assume following not too tight and not too loose opening range:

      { 77+, AJs+, AQo+, KQs }

      As already mentioned, villain is pretty deep in this hand, and so is hero. This should change the strategies of hero from time to time since we have plenty of implied odds later in the hand if we should get involved with villain. Being in hero's shoes, I'd 3-bet pre-flop:

      {JJ+, AK+}

      But since we both are so deep, hero likes to 3-bet some suited connectors or suited broadways as well, since they can flop very hard against villain's 3-bet calling range in this spot. So we can add this to his range in this case:

      {67s, 78s, 89s, 9Ts, TJs }

      But specifically in this spot, I do think that hero has 9Ts. This is a pretty hand, standard 3-bet or fold given that we are so deep and have massive implieds here.

      Now it's back to villain. He decided to call, and since he only calls, we can narrow his range to the following:

      {77-QQ, KQs}

      although I think that he might decide to 3-bet queens from time to time but given this deep, a call is fine. He will 4-bet {AA-KK}.

      The flop is pretty draw heavy. 7 :club: 8 :diamond: J :spade: . In this case, I do think that villain will check to the original raiser and check/raise big with his sets given that the board is pretty draw heavy.

      That's exactly what happened. Hero has the nuts here, and he should go for maximum value so he bets the flop, and just flats the raise from villain. There is really no need to re-raise since we should give villain rope to hang himself. Besides that, it's very likely that villain has a set. Given that both players are so deep and both have huge implied odds, it's definitely in villain 3-bet calling range pre-flop. If villain has 88 or JJ, he'd stack off on this flop, but he might get away from 77 this deep since set over set is very possible, but also the 9T is definitely in hero's range.

      Given ranges, I think that hero only should continue with a set or 9T. There's plenty of ugly cards that could come even though we have position.

      On the turn it get's even wetter, and villain decides to bet again. Being hero, we now even more think that villain has a set here. JJ or QQ are almost the only hands with which villain can barrel again so big (+ given the stack sizes !). At the same time, villain is setting up a river shove, so hero really just calls here with the stone cold nuts.

      River is a shove, villain shoves JJ or QQ and hero stacks him off with 9T.

      Because I have to choose a hand for villain, I'd go for QQ instead of JJ.

      So: Hero has 9T, villain has QQ.
    • zvezdarian
      Joined: 29.01.2011 Posts: 21
      After the flop came and Villain re-raised the Hero's c-bet, he probably has some set, and Hero would continue hand with some over pair.

      On the turn, Villain bets for value because he has very strong hand and he need to protect it. Hero made call because he think his over pair is still the best hand KK or AA. Hero would probably make fold on the river if Villain bets third time, or would just check behind if V checks.

      When the River shows an A, Hero would probably fold his KK, but he calls because he also made a set on the river.

      So: Two strong hands before the flop, I guess:
      Hero: AA
      Villain: JJ
    • PhantomFake
      Joined: 19.11.2011 Posts: 596
      Gest 9Ts make sens, because we are deep.
      2nd AA
      When he raise flop, u call whit GS, turn perfect to call, no reason to raise, but ii think UTG have some QQ, JJ, 88, 77 here.
      Flop, when u have JJ u can call/raise, but u not have JJ, whit QQ, u need to reraise/fold on flop, and KK same, maybe AA its good to call.
      QQ, KK is not good to go broke in this flop/not deep.
    • kierantierney
      Joined: 12.08.2011 Posts: 57
      My guess is KTs (maybe clubs)

      He raises in position.
      Has a gut shot ont the flop
      An OESD on the turn
      And the nuts on the river

      I'd put the villian on JJ (or some other set)

      Played a had just like this lately!
    • chenny8888
      Joined: 03.10.2007 Posts: 19,324
      KTcc is my guess.
    • weezyh
      Joined: 16.10.2012 Posts: 19
      I would think that of his position he could 3bet with any playable hand KTcc would make most sense ,Hero cbet half pot with gutshot + backdoor flush draw ,On turn if he had KTcc he picked up the OESD + flush draw so pretty easy call on turn and on river he spiked the ace for the Straight , hands like pocket pairs who got sets would 3bet on flop to protect from draws same with overpairs . I guess the utg had pocket 9s and hero KTcc or KTxx .
    • cozacu
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 1,379
      Hero : T9c
      Villain : QQ

      PF : UTG standard open / Hero 3bets beacause of stacksizes with T9s ,not expecting to 4bet much.

      Flop : villain checks in order to check/raises expecting hero to bet a good part of his bluffs and pair hands (although villain might seriousely doubt that Hero would 3bet Bu vs UTG with AJ/KJ type of hands). After hero just calls deep on a quite draw heavy board I put him on the nuts (9T), sets might already try to get it in here on the flop.

      Turn : Villain sees a Q and belives to have the nuts and bets big 3/4, again hero just calls so it is quite improbabile that he has a set, we would most likely try to put his money in on drawheavy boards like that not giving the change to villain to outdraw him.

      River : Villain shoves - 200BB = minimum a set, most likely QQ (we would expect him to 4bet KK/AA PF - although we have no clue how he plays), Hero flats T9c.
    • schnukki007
      Joined: 02.11.2007 Posts: 1,001
      4 deep player on a normal table ---> there must be a recreational player on the table

      deep and "fish" behind UTG-open is wider than usual. so hero could also be lighter then usual, if the tablespot is siting in the blinds heros range is very bluffheavy. would make no sense to 3bet good drawing hands or monsters in this situations.

      because of the implieds calling by utg should also be very wide. 4betting oop makes no sense except AA maybe KK, because heros have allways the right odds to call IP.

      There is no need to slowplay deep. so T9suited is a good option for UTG.

      utg want bet/bluff 3Barrels with a set so deep if hero could easily hold a straight there.
      the only hand hero could call F+T and fold R is JT of spades.

      if the spot is in the blinds. hero is more likely to hold JJ/QQ
      while JJ should fold on the river.

      otherwise T9 suited is also a good option for him.

      but except T9 of spades, hero would raise the most combination of T9 on the Turn.

      UTG: T9suited
      HERO: QQ
    • SasoR7
      Joined: 21.12.2010 Posts: 5
      Hi i hope im doing this,judging that the promo has just been published again a few days back.

      Im guesing for both "hero" and the "villain" :)

      So, starting off......Utg bets cose of a value hand he has, the hero raises cose of his position and probably a medium blend card. Villain calls,showing that his hand has value towards other regular hands, which probably intends a pocket. Flop comes and Utg checks and hero bets a bit over half the pot trying to continue and value beting. Villain raises too a pot bet probably notising that a chance of his apponent hiting that J(top pair with a good kicker) or even having an over pair. Probably true the hero does only call,indicating he probably holds a strong hand already, but isnt convinced that the villain has him. The turn comes another draw, and the villain doesnt stop, thinking that even if the hero holds a set of QQQ he cant get rid off him now anymore.So the villain raises again preety high to evaluate how strong the hero realy is, IF so anyway. Hero plain calls, what probably isnt a very good call anymore considering he called the flop to see if the villain realy is that strong,expecting the river to show a brick.But after Q im guesing plain tilt. Calling the villain here is just crazy, exepct if the hero hold 10.9 nuts on flop. Which he doesnt. So the flop was a pure call based on a thought that the villain holds a lower J, and turn call was a desperate one. So the river comes up an A, and the villain showes allin,almost pot value,so hes not holding air, and if he is,it was the best play ive seen in my carrer. Hero calls probably catching that second pair on the river, thinking " the villain cant be better here even though he could have 3 of a kind ;) .

      So.....My gues, even though there could be more variabels for this isolated case, from K 10, to 10,9 easy.....but reality is that more than many times in this example that the players would be holding something like this::

      Hero : A J

      Villain : pocket 8

      But he could easily be holding pocket 7, the only problem is this......If holding pocket 8, why didnt he 3-bet the PF. And if he has pocket 7, why would he be fearless to the end?...heh. So im going with pocket 8, cose not everyone 3-bet with that hand. So i hope im still on time to post this and if not, i enyoyed this. Its been awhile.

      Good day
    • ThatGuyMatt
      Joined: 03.12.2010 Posts: 3,748
      Be sure to post replies in the original thread ;)

      Merged for you.