BTN: $26.07 (52.1 bb)
SB: $48.59 (97.2 bb)
Hero (BB): $52.54 (105.1 bb)
UTG: $53.68 (107.4 bb)
MP: $51.37 (102.7 bb) Villain is unknown.
CO: $78.01 (156 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with Q♣ T♦
UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, CO calls $1.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $1
Flop: ($4.75) J♦ 4♠ 8♣ (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $1.50, CO folds, Hero raises to $5.50, MP calls $4
Turn: ($15.75) K♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $11.25, MP raises to $26, Hero calls $14.75
River: ($67.75) Q♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $18.37, Hero folds
Please look for the flaws in my thinking here.
My thinking. Preflop defend might be a little loose I guess, but as played I definitely don't want to x/c flop with this hand. I think I could donk if it were HU, but since it's multiway, I wanted to see first what the CO will do. Now when he folds, I think it's a good spot to x/r, cause I think I can make MP fold a bunch of better hands like AK, AQ, KQ, AT, TT, 99, 77-55 which I think he would still choose to cbet here most of the time, right ? And I still have equity if called. Now when he does call, I obviously don't like my hand anymore, but still chose to barrel turn cause I think sometimes he still could be calling flop x/r with 99, TT, JT, QJ, AJ, maaaybe suited AK/AQ sometimes with BDFD, which all now would fold OTT. And also I picked SD. Now when he raises, I'm obviously behind, but since the raise is so small (15 to call into 53), I think I get very good price to hit my clean outs for straight, and definitely get paid, so I just call. OTR I guess there's nothing else to do but x/f now.
