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[NL2-NL10] nl10 squeeze

    • allizdoR
      Joined: 02.01.2007 Posts: 4,568
      5,00/10,00 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.9 by

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:club: , 8:club:
      2 folds, MP2 raises to $35,00, MP3 folds, CO calls $35,00, BU folds, SB calls $30,00, Hero raises to $206,00 (All-In), MP2 calls $171,00, 2 folds.

        squezze? I have 20.5BB after posting the blind
        mp2 29/18
        co 18/9
        sb 17/11

      Flop: ($482,00) 9:club: , K:heart: , 2:diamond:
      Turn: ($482,00) 4:club:
      River: ($482,00) 6:heart:

      Final Pot: $482,00
  • 2 replies
    • ysessa
      Joined: 11.07.2008 Posts: 1,331
      Hm I haven't make further calculations, but I am not that happy with the situation. You are not ahead against mp2s range co could call good hands to play in position against mp2 or to over shove squeezes, SB can also cc 88-JJ and better aces. MP2 is nearly the best opponent for a squeeze but you will not have fold equity against better aces against pockets sb will call any pocket. The situation is nice, but I think you should have at least ATs to be ahead against 2 more pockets. When you have a strong read that mp2 is not folding against 3bets and shoves worth hands like kq kj a7-a2 then its a different situation.
    • allizdoR
      Joined: 02.01.2007 Posts: 4,568
      with a bit time and a bit mathematics...

      I have 41% EQ against a call. so i need a lot of fe.

      I know the following calculations should be clear but sometimes I get problems which what i can win and what is the pot so be carefully with the follwing

      perhaps I get called by a 6% range 66+ AJs+ Ako there I have 33%EQ and he folds 66%

      everyone fold 115*0.66 = 75.9$ //35+35+35+10 bb isnt my money yet
      1 call and win 276*0.33 = 91.1$ //206+70
      1 call and loose -206*0.66 = -136$ //loose my stack of 196 and my bb
      profit of 31.01$

      there is a big win of 2.5bb so this should be profitable for the most scenarios, isnt it?

      Have anyone some advice for me to make good squeezes? I think nearly always a squezze is profitable with a hand with 35% Eq against the top hands and 3 limpers.