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Would you fold the 2nd Nuts in a High Roller Event?

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Coach
CollinMoshman
Joined: 20.09.2011

In today’s SNG coaching we started talking about this hand from the PCA highroller event:

Here’s the Pokerstars interview with both players giving their thought process on it:

Here is an interesting analysis from the players themselves: http://bcove.me/lm7pq53b

I’d be very interested to get your comments on this hand in the thread, and we’ll start off the next SNG coaching (January 21) by discussing it + I'll give my opinion.


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13 replies
vaulsc
Joined: 28.06.2012

Thanks for bringing this one up here Colin. I think it was an interesting hand and hearing Kurganov's explanation of it gave me a lot more respect for his game (I already had a lot). It does indeed seem like a hard spot to pull off a bluff, and by the sound of it, Kurganov gave a lot of weight to the physical tell side of it also.


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vaulsc
Joined: 28.06.2012

Just noticed this live footage of the hand for anyone interested:

Sound quality not great on that one, there's probably a better version of that specific clip around.


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Head Admin
SvenBe
Joined: 19.04.2006

At first i was like: "lol, 2nd nuts in Blind vs Blind situation... i never fold".
And then I see my average stake and theirs - probably I shouldn't lol too much :-)


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Coach
CollinMoshman
Joined: 20.09.2011

Thanks for the Youtube link Vaulsc, very interesting to watch the footage.

Sven I had the exact same thought ... so I will just have to increase my ABI by a factor of 1000 before this Wednesday's coaching :)


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iSoOwnYou
Joined: 27.11.2014

Easy fold. He's either catching a bluffer or he's lost. Read dependent to an extent. Unless the guys a maniac, snap fold river.

I would have gone for raise / fold line on river all day long.


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SWScuracao
Joined: 24.08.2010

Can't mizzy also have trips in his range? (+2 combo's for his bluffing range?)
It's a bit crazy, and he probably wouldn't have shoved on the riverraise 'cause of the flush, but maybe

just maybe.... any Q♥: :Qx: combo kinda works as a blocker for the heart flush right?


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sherriffatman
Joined: 30.04.2009

very interesting hd to analyse (n1Collin!)

this is way above my level of poker knowledge tbh, and I very much doubt I will ever be able to play a HR, but fwiw I think Mizzi's raise on rvr polarises his range somewhat (ie. contrary to the commentator, I think he could just about call profitably with QQ/55), and I totally disagree that it's an 'easy fold' for Igor - the yt title sorta contradicts that view - also interesting that they had opposing views on whether the rvr was a good spot to bluff

- kinda amusing that Sarah is nodding along, but clearly a bit bemused (as would I be, btw) as Igor explains his high-level thought-processes and combinatrics deduction

these plays are what separates the great from the good imho so wpwp to Kurganov for backing his judgement in a pressure-spot, and wpwp to Mizzi if indeed he was running a bluff.


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HNRoger
Joined: 12.06.2007

I have no idea, i am not even near the level of these guys, but for post action judgement: Mizzi didnt look like the guy who got denied value in a nuts vs second nuts situation, check his mimics as he stacks his chips, or maybe thats acting? Heck knows, the only way a fish like me finds it out, is if i build a time machine and go back there and flip his cards.


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iSoOwnYou
Joined: 27.11.2014

Its not about being near their level

They just have money
Fish exist at every level mate


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sherriffatman
Joined: 30.04.2009

Originally posted by iSoOwnYou
Its not about being near their level

They just have money
Fish exist at every level mate

I agree with the last statement, but I wouldn't classify Kurganov or Mizzi as rich fish/whales by any stretch of the imagination


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iSoOwnYou
Joined: 27.11.2014

Hi yeah I was speaking generally about this buyin didn't mean to reference particular players here!


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Pretty simple, Mizzi never has Qhigh flush, cause he'll usually cb tp otf. Don't think he's ever 3b jamming the Thigh flush vs such a huge x/r when Kurganov can have all higher flushes. So Mizzi either has the nuts or the nutblocker. Hard to find bare A♥: that he x/b on the flop and then goes bet turn and b/s river.


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Coach
CollinMoshman
Joined: 20.09.2011

Thanks for all the comments, I'll definitely be referring to them in the coaching today :)


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