FaLLout86: Fold Equity Coaching – Day 3

    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Not so long ago we had a week-long coaching course in our German and Russian communities. This course, during which you'll learn how to count card combinations, was created by a famous German coach FaLLout86. And now we proudly present its localized version!

      Train for 20 minutes each day, and in a week no-one will be able to fool your sense of fold equity!



      The frequency of your opponents' folds is arguably one of the most important assessments for you to make at poker tables.

      Overall, fold equity depends on a number of factors:
      • Strength of your own range -> The better it fits the board, the more reliable is your bluff.
      • The probability of your opponent to hit a playable combination.
      • Your opponent's game plan and the frequency of their bluff with weaker hands.
      • General assessments regarding board structures which can cause "leveling wars".
      • Auto-profit break even points for different bet sizes.

      Here I place this learning course that will help you better understand and assess fold equity. Each day of the week, you'll be given 30 tasks to train your skills. Their difficulty will gradually increase from day to day. You'll notice how much your intuition will has improved after this course, and you'll be able to instantly and clearly figure out if you have 30% or 60% fold equity in a particular spot!

      I also prepared this introductory video in which I explained how you should approach these questions:



      ATTENTION!
      Please post if you'll like it or simply say "I'll try!" in the opening thread.

      So please post there:
      "I'll try!" – if you've decided to participate in this coaching.
      "I've finished Day X" – as soon as you've completed all tasks for the corresponding day!

      Of course, you are also free to leave feedback about this project, so that we could improve it further.


      Where do you stand in the crowd of PokerStrategists? For every task, when you attempt it first, give the post a Like if you got it right or a Dislike if you had it wrong.
      = got it right in the first try
      = got it wrong in the first try
  • 52 replies
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 1

      I hope you still remember the previous lesson :f_p:
      How many combos of QQ are there?
      6 – Of course, no one has forgotten that :f_wink:
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 2

      And how many QQ combos are possible on this flop: :Qh: :3s: :4c: ?
      3 – Because :Qh: is blocked.
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 3

      How many A7s+ combos are possible on this flop: :Td: :Qh: :2d: ?
      26 – :Qh: and :Td: are blocked, so we have to subtract 2 combos: (7 * 4) – 2.
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 4

      How many A7s+ combos are possible on this flop: :Qs: :Qh: :2d: ?
      26 – :Qs: and :Qh: are blocked, so we need to subtract 2 combos again: (7 * 4) – 2.
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 5

      How many ATo+ combos are possible on this flop: :2s: :4h: :Ad: ?
      36 – Because :Ad: is blocked, we need to subtract 3 combos from each hand: (4 * 12) – (3 * 4).

      ATTENTION!
      Don't forget to make a post saying "I'll try!" in this thread, so that we could continue this project!

    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 6

      How many ATo+ combos are possible on this flop: :2s: :Th: :Ad: ?
      34 – Here we need to subtract 2 more ATo combos, because hands with :Th: are also not possible: (4 * 12) – (3 * 4) – 2.
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 7

      How many flush-draw combos do we have with ATs+ on this flop: :2s: :Ts: :Ad: ?
      3 – :Ts: is blocked, so :As: :Ts: aren't possible. That leaves: 4 – 1 = 3.
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 8

      How many flush-draw combos do we have with ATs+ on this flop: :2d: :Ts: :As: ?
      0 :f_o::As: is blocked, so how can we have a flush draw with an ace?
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 9

      How many flush-draw combos do we have with ATs+ on this flop: :Jd: :Js: :Kd: ?
      2 – Of course, only diamond draws are here, and on this flop they are only possible with :Ad: :Qd: and :Ad: :Td: .
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 10

      How many flush-draw combos do we have with ATo+ on this flop: :4h: :5h: :6h: ?
      24 – Exactly half since we have 24 off-suited combos with a heart and 24 without it: (12 * 4) / 2.

      ATTENTION!
      Don't forget to make a post saying "I'll try!" in this thread, so that we could continue this project!

    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 11

      How many flush-draw combos do we have with ATo+ on this flop: :Jh: :5h: :6h: ?
      21 – This time, we need to subtract :Jh: combos from our half. So, in terms of AJo, we have only :Ah: :Jd: , :Ah: :Js: and :Ah: :Jc: .
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 12

      How many flush-draw combos do we have with ATo+ on this flop: :Jh: :Qh: :6h: ?
      18 – This time, we need to subtract not only :Jh: combos again, but also those with :Qh: . So 3 more combos go away.
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 13

      How many flush-draw combos do we have with ATo+ on this flop: :Ah: :5h: :6h: ?
      12 – :Ah: is blocked by the board. That leaves only other heart combos: 4 * 3 = 12.
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 14

      How many flush-draw combos do we have with ATo+ on this flop: :Ah: :Jh: :6h: ?
      9 – AJ can't produce any combos because :Ah: and :Jh: blocked, so we can't have a flush draw with this hand. That leaves: 3 * 3 = 9 combos.
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 15
      How many flush-draw combos do we have with ATo+ on this flop: :Ah: :Jh: :Th: ?
      6 – From AQ and AK, only 3 combos are possible with :Qh: or :Kh: . That means: 2 * 3 = 6.

      ATTENTION!
      Don't forget to make a post saying "I'll try!" in this thread, so that we could continue this project!

    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 16

      Let's try another range :f_smile:
      How many combos of 67o+ are possible?
      96 – This range consists of AKo, KQo, QJo, JTo, T9o, 98o, 87o and 76o. Each of these hands has 12 combos. 8 * 12 = 96.
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 17

      How many flush-draw combos do we have with 67o+ on this flop: :2d: :3d: :4d: ?
      48 – Again, this time no diamond hands are blocked and that leaves us half of all possible combos.
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 18

      How many flush-draw combos do we have with 67o+ on this flop: :2d: :Jd: :4d: ?
      42 – This is a bit trickier. We need to take half of all combos and subtract 3 combos from all hands with :Jd: . Thus from QJo and JTo, we have only 3 combos. In total: 6 * 6 + 6 = 42.
    • Kogtistiy
      Kogtistiy
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 05.07.2008 Posts: 30,061
      Day 3 combos – Task 19

      How many flush-draw combos do we have with 67o+ on this flop: :Qd: :Jd: :4d: ?
      36 – In addition, :Qd: combos are blocked, i.e. QJo aren't possible at all because both flush cards are blocked by the board. Additionally, KQo and :Qd: are partially blocked (3 combos left). From JTo only 3 combos are also possible. In total: 6 * 5 + 3 + 3= 36.