Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;MP2$2.90:132/43 /5 /0.9/28 /15 /0 /73 ;Hero$4.20:///////;[/tg]
0.1/0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.
Preflop: Hero is BU with K♠, Q♠
MP2 calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 2 folds, MP2 calls $1.00.
Flop: ($2.85) 7♦, A♦, J♦ (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $2.95 (All-In), MP2 calls $1.65 (All-In), Hero gets uncalled bet back.
Turn: ($6.15) 2♠
River: ($6.15) 5♠ (2 players)
Final Pot: $6.15
In this hand, I raised with KQ in BU, and the flop came with me holding a trash hand. C-bet rules vs. 1 opponent call for me to bet 2/3 pot, but as 2/3 of 2.85 is around 1.9, and that is more than half my chips (2.95), I push them all in right away.
Several questions:
1) I wanted to confirm that this is the correct play.
2) I understand the math behind that if I'm betting 2/3 of the pot, I need to be successful 40% of the time to make money. In this situation where I am forced to push all in due to the rules, does my math change? Since I am now betting 2.95 to win 2.85 (and with trash I might often be behind) I have a feeling that this is a mathematically a -ev play, is this correct?
3) Which lead to my next question, should I have just bet 2/3 of the pot and not all in?
4) Under SSS, even at a higher level, do I ever have discretion as to whether to c-bet vs. 1 opponent? Can I use his stats, and the board texture to determine whether to cbet? Or do I HAVE to cbet in this situation vs. 1 opponent
Thanks,
Will