My thoughts to this hand were that he will have a quite tight calling range to my c/r(which looks sooo strong) like AQ, KQ and QQ+. If I expect him to call 9.65%preflop, his calling range to my shove is about 19% of his calling range. I think he wouldnt bet A high here, but maybe hands like 89s or sth like that as a bluff. Another factor is that I block 1 ace and 1 king with my hand, so that makes AQ, KK, AA and KQ less presumably. The only thing I worried about is that Im clearly beaten/dominated by his calling range.
Villain: 23/18/2.1/28/ats:35(BU 53)/334h
Because he steals a lot i defend passiv.
River blanks and he still barrels.
Problem is my Hand is face up and he still barrels. I don´t see too many 3 barrel bluffs on NL50. But is that enough to fold my Hand on this blank River?
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
Dealt to Hero A
fold, fold, CO raises to $2, BTN raises to $6, Hero raises to $17, fold, fold, BTN raises to $88.45, Hero calls $37.95,
FLOP ($112) 2
TURN ($112) 2
RIVER ($112) 2
CO: 23/18/20/6/41 ats (42 aus CO)/80h
BU: 34/25/1.8/28/3bet: 10.7/3bet aus BU 30%/200h
Co was very active and BU was agressiv. I thought he could 3bet him light from BU. So i 4bet with AQ. Maybe not the best idea with AQ because if i 4bet i´m commited and have to calle a push. And i guess i´m behind against his pushingrange. Better 4bet with trash or monster here?
Preflop i get good odds.
Flop i donk with TP.
Wasn´t sure what to do on Turn. Potcontrol>Protection so i checked.
The bet was small so i called but i think i should have folded because he won´t bet worse hands.