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[Closed] 5/T$ KQ 3-bet pot

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TerrorBlade
Joined: 16.10.2007
BlackMember

PokerStars Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q♦, K♣
UTG calls, 2 folds, Button raises, Hero 3-bets, 1 fold, UTG calls, Button calls

Flop: (10 SB) 6♠, 5♥, A♠ (3 players)
Hero bets, 1 fold, Button calls

Turn: (6 BB) 2♦ (2 players)
Hero bets, Button calls

River: (8 BB) 7♥ (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets, Hero folds

Total pot: $80 (8 BB) | Rake: $3

Villain is 33/10/1.0 after an unknown amount of hands.

It's a question of whether to Bet turn -> c/c certain rivers or c/f turn straight up, I made the turn bet in the heat of the moment and am just wondering what seems better.


2 replies
chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007
Elite Grinder

so i figure we still have equity against villain's draw range to bet turn and c/c blank river. villain is not so aggressive which doesn't just mean he bluffs little (although this is true too), but it also means that when we check villain will only valuebet quite strong hands (top pair+). so i think we got equity vs his range on the river.


Hi TerrorBlade,

unknown amout but enough to make the stats reliable?
If that is the case I consider folding preflop as you don't have the requiered equity edge:

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.804% 36.02% 03.78% 79572395 8349922.50 { KcQd }
Hand 1: 60.196% 56.42% 03.78% 124614976 8349922.50 { 66+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, ATo+, KQo }

Potflop I give up on the turn. His range is tight and I don't see him flding enough pocketpair to make the bet +EV. He will never fold an ace and there aren't enough possible draws to make him bluff with.


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