[NL2-NL10] NL25 AQs - my c-bet raised on flop

    • Spidey1978
      Joined: 25.07.2007 Posts: 256
      Should have given this up after villains re-raise on flop?

      Here's my workings according to pot odds please tell me if my line of thinking is correct.

      Two over cards giving me 6 outs (although with the two diamonds on the flop should I discount this to 4 outs excluding the A and Q of Diamonds from my outs?).

      I only have 2.15 left in my stack to call for a 5.65 pot which gives me pot odds of 2.6ish:1.

      As I would be all-in if I called I have odds of 3:1 to improve by the river if 6 outs (or 5:1 if 4 outs)

      Therefore It is not profitable to call. Correct?

      Known players:

      0.1/0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A:heart: , Q:heart:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.00, 5 folds, BB calls $0.75.

      Flop: ($2.10) 6:diamond: , 3:spade: , 7:diamond: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.40, BB raises to $2.80, Hero calls $2.15 (All-In), BB calls $0.75.

      Turn: ($9.20) J:diamond:
      River: ($9.20) 9:diamond: (2 players)

      Final Pot: $9.20
  • 2 replies
    • RahXephon1
      Joined: 14.04.2009 Posts: 972
      I think you can bet a little less on the flop 1,2 or 1,3.

      As for the outs, if you are not sure you can dicount 1 in this case, as sometimes you'll have 6 sometimes 4 so 5 is an ok estimate.

      Given that your opponent seems passive and decided to checkraise you is probably OK to fold.
    • burek2000
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey Spidey1978,

      I think you miscalculated the pot, because you have to put in the pot your last 2.15$ in order to win 7.05$ when opponent calls you, as I wouldn't expect any fold equity here. So, your pot odds are slightly better, they're 3.28:1.

      That would be enough if you had 6 outs, but I don't think you have them on such a drawy board and specially not when a more passive villain decides to raise you on the flop. So, I find bet/fold on the flop the best line.

      About c-betting I think c-betting 2/3 of the pot is right due to draw heavy boards, I would c-bet the same amount with an overpair.