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[NL20-NL50] NL25 FR, 88 set

    • jenoc
      Joined: 06.04.2008 Posts: 510
      Villain is 9/8 AF=1.8 on 80 hands

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($18.22)
      BB ($10)
      UTG ($25.86)
      UTG+1 ($30.20)
      UTG+2 ($8.66)
      Hero ($27.06)
      CO ($23.06)
      BTN ($25.72)

      Dealt to Hero 8:club: 8:diamond:

      UTG raises to $1, fold, fold, Hero calls $1, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($2.35) 5:spade: 2:club: 8:heart:

      UTG bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

      TURN ($5.35) 5:spade: 2:club: 8:heart: 2:heart:

      UTG bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

      RIVER ($12.35) 5:spade: 2:club: 8:heart: 2:heart: 5:club:

      UTG checks, Hero bets $5.55, UTG calls $5.55

      What to do on turn- I'm not sure if I raise will he call with OP here. Is my river value bet size ok? This board must look scary to him, so I don't think he will call big bet.
  • 2 replies
    • excelgeo
      Joined: 17.10.2008 Posts: 1,107
      well i wouldnt know what to do on turn, i instictively raise it up though. i have posted similar hand here, still waiting to find out, shouldn't be long ( ;) kaitz20)

      but yeah i instictively raise turn, make a bigger pot.

      as you played it, i would bet 9 on river because he is likely to call playing two pair and A high.
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Really tight players are usually easy to spook, and nothing is scarier than a call flop raise turn line. I actually like how you played it, you're more likely to get another street of value from that guy if he bets it himself, i don't think there are any hands he's calling a turn raise with that he wouldn't valuebet or c/c on the river.

      I'd bet the river a tad bigger tho, i don't think he folds an overpair for something like $7 there unless he somehow feels threatened by the double paired board, which he shouldn't really. You can't really have a busted draw unless it's exactly 76 so he'll rarely c/c A-high even if you make it smaller.

      Hope it helps.