two hands i played recently which i think might be interesting
Hand 1
SB ($49.58)
BB ($30)
UTG ($80.45)
Hero ($100)
BTN ($100)
Dealt to Hero Q♠ T♠
fold, Hero raises to $3, BTN calls $3, fold, fold
FLOP ($7.50) 6♦ A♣ J♥
Hero bets $5, BTN calls $5
TURN ($17.50) 6♦ A♣ J♥ 5♦
Hero checks, BTN bets $12, Hero raises to $30, BTN folds
Hero shows Q♠ T♠
Hero wins $39.45
villain is semi good reg, or at least according to ptr he is a mediocre winner. he is not folding to cbets (fold to cbet 31% and turn IP aggression 73% so obv he float often (for a big sample size) and in his eyes i am kinda aggro. i have no reads at all except stats but these days its prety common to float A high flops so i went for c/r.
one day after i decided to check the math behind the hand and here it is:
second barrel here will be pure spew because only pure air from his float range will fold since i am aggro.
if his flop range is
AJ/AT/A9, A8s-A2s, KQ/KT/QT, KJ/QJ/JT/J9, 55-TT, 75s/65s/54s
hands that fold to 2nd barrel: KQ/KT/QT, 77-TT, 75s/54s (= 60 combos)
hands that call 2nd barrel but fold to a checkraise: KJ/QJ/JT/J9, A2s-A4s,A7s-A8s,A9,AT (= 84 combos)
hands that call or reraise regardless: AJ, 55, 66, 65s, A5s, A6s (= 22 combos)
a second barrel will only work about 35% of the time (so betting 2/3 pot will not give me odds) but a checkraise works 87% and i win even more
generally on other flops like T52 his floatng range is much more wider and there second barrel would be the better play against this guy
Hand 2
Hero ($101)
BB ($101)
UTG ($205)
CO ($24.45)
BTN ($147)
Dealt to Hero 6♣ 5♣
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2
FLOP ($6) T♦ T♥ K♦
Hero bets $4, BB raises to $12, Hero calls $8
TURN ($30) T♦ T♥ K♦ 4♥
Hero bets $24, BB folds
Hero shows 6♣ 5♣
Hero wins $28.50
quite a lot of preflop meta game with this guy constant 3/4bets and squuzes or resquuezes. he should be a bit on tilt because before one orbit i insta snapped his 5betshove with 77 and stacked his pure air.
i believe he is from not so good regs and with his not so big raise on the flop basically he cannot represent anything imo except some draws so i decided to call and reevaluate on the turn.
turn is a blank so i decided to stab big so i dont give him the opportunity to check behind his draws and in this spot ofcourse i can represent big king and fold all his K/2-9 hands.
And here is the deep analysis from the all mighty TLN!
Originally posted by TheLastNail
nh! perfect reasoning, a great line... if he calles T and R is a blank its better to c/r tho rather than bet coz A, he calles u there with made hands anyway B, he provides more dead money with busted draws which are going to fold to a c/r C, if it goes c,c he is going to see your hand and think u re an idiotic spewtard
(u can aslo c/f too sometimes tho :P) as u said, some equity helps in general, but in sb vs bb it doesnt matter much --> btw: i would show him this hand if i was ip on him on the tab so that he can steam some money into our pocket later.
to other ppl than my beloved mate Ivan
: he is not trying to get him of Kx and by no means of Tx obv.. he is getting him off Ax and underpairs, most notably draws tho. Ivan is cbetting that board 100% --> a reg playing vs him knows it, so he is gonna fight back and r it with pretty wide range (mosttly with some decent equity) to ease his pain in the next streets coz Ivan is gonna bomb him down till R ..
but we like to put ppl back into that pain...