I have played more than 8500 hands on NL 5 and my overall win
from KK is -12$! I mostly lost money because of my pre-flop play.
Let's see random KK vs AA situation.
Full ring table (9 players)
You are on the button
UTG2 raises to 4 BB
everyone folds, You reraise to 12 BB
SB and BB fold
UTG2 goes all-in
You identified UTG2 as a rock or as a TAG after having his stats on more than 500 hands.
Both you and UTG2 have 100 BBs large stacks (but playing deeply stacked would prove this even more).
You have also played enough hands at this table, that by stats other can recognise you as a TAG
Now you have to ask yourself, what would a rock or a TAG go all in with? The answer is, of course KK or AA
You have 3 options:
You go all in
Now let's calculate overall winnings of going all in
- Let's say that UTG2 also has KK (which is less likely for obvious reasons). In this case, you split the pot (there are of course chances of getting flush but so does your opponent). In 50% of cases, you gain nothing
-UTG2 shows AA
You lose, but in every 4.2 times you can hit a king. Unfortunately, aces can too (which happened a lot to me). I'll estimate this to winning every 5. time. (I don't know how to calculate it so correct me if I'm wrong). Overall, you have -4$ lose.
Overall that's -2$ for every time you go all in.
You call
Flops without kings will be often. UTG2 is also betting on the flop for sure. You won't know where you stand with your hand.
You fold
That's the option I'll be using from now on (after today's several KK vs AA beatdowns).
I know I wrote this as I'm trying to engage you to kings folding, but I'm just asking for opinions and help with my king hands.
EDIT: I apologize if I posted this into wrong forum.
