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[Closed] NL25 FR rush - 99

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knb22
Joined: 29.04.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($26.59)
BB ($10)
UTG ($25)
UTG+1 ($22.94)
UTG+2 ($34.39)
MP1 ($26.29)
MP2 ($48.74)
CO ($26.45)
Hero ($65.58)

Dealt to Hero 9♥ 9♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to $0.85, Hero calls $0.85, SB raises to $3.75, fold, fold, Hero calls $2.90

FLOP ($8.60) 8♠ T♠ J♥

SB bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

TURN ($17.60) 8♠ T♠ J♥ Q♠

SB checks, Hero bets $57.33 (AI), SB calls $18.34 (AI)

Villain plays 13/11, 3bet 5,6%, AF 1.5 over 125 hands

Since nl25 rush is a nitfest, I should probably fold pre, but somehow I thought he was capable of squeezing light here (bluff 4bet pre better then?)
On the flop, it's just ugly. I guess folding is totally fine, but I get good odds to call to hit the straight, eventhough it's not the nuts.

Cliffs: confused every step of the way, should I just fold pre to avoid these spots?


1 reply

I think fold pf is better if you don´t really 3-bet yourself pf for value 99
On that board I´d raise and play for stacks, you can´t really then make pf call profitable if you´re going to fold or call this flop.

You´re flipping likely against his 3-bet range:

board: 8sTsJh
Hand Equity Wins Ties
9s9h 49.87% 27,407 486
TT-AA, AQ-AK 50.13% 27,547 486

and if he really 3-bet something like AT I think he is b/f on that board

But yeah, folding pf is better option, also you can´t 4-bet shove pf, since likely he isn´t bluffing too often or won´t fold his 3-bet value hands