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[Closed] overcards

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nemiren
Joined: 28.09.2009

Known players:
[tg]Position:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;SB:35/31/11/0.6/83/20/0/40;BB:55/31/13/3.1/39/9/100/57;MP2:50/44/12/1.4/55/10/100/50;MP3:28/32/32/1.4/45/80/-/20;BU:34/56/24/1.8/29/50/0/80;[/tg]
0.05/0.1 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.91 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is CO with K♦, J♠
MP2 calls, MP3 folds, Hero raises, 2 folds, BB calls, MP2 calls.

Flop: (6.40 SB) 8♣, 4♣, 3♥ (3 players)
BB checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets, BB raises, MP2 folds, Hero calls.

Turn: (5.20 BB) 3♠ (2 players)
BB bets, Hero folds, BB gets uncalled bet back.

Final Pot: 5.20 BB

what does that flop raise mean? can i still call? 4-6 outs..


1 reply
Moderator
cjheigl
Joined: 09.04.2006

BB looks quite aggressive, but it appears he had good hands so far. The flop doesn't hit your range very well, so basically he can raise any made hand and any good draw. A calldown for showdown value is close however. You need a equity of

Equity > cost of calldown /pot at showdown = 2 /(5,2 + 2*2) = 21,7%

If he doesn't checkraise the 3 and not many 4, your equity could be higher.

Board: 8c4c3h 3s
Dead:

.................Equity ..... Hand
Spieler 1: 25.174 % KdJs
Spieler 2: 74.826 % 74.363 % 0.926 % 24.711 % 99-33, AcJc, AcTc, Ac9c, A8s, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, A4s, Ac3c, Ac2c, KcQc, KcJc, KcTc, Kc9c, K8s, Kc7c, Kc6c, Kc5c, Kc4c, Kc3c, Kc2c, QcJc, QcTc, Qc9c, Q8s, Qc7c, Qc6c, Qc5c, Qc4c, Qc3c, Qc2c, JcTc, Jc9c, J8s, Jc7c, Jc6c, Jc5c, Jc4c, Jc3c, Jc2c, Tc9c, T8s, Tc7c, Tc6c, Tc5c, Tc4c, Tc3c, Tc2c, 98s, 9c7c, 9c6c, 9c5c, 9c4c, 9c3c, 9c2c, 82s+, 7c6c, 7c5c, 7c4c, 7c3c, 7c2c, 64s+, 6c3c, 6c2c, 54s, 5c3c, 5c2c, 43s, 4c2c, 3c2c, A8o, A4o, K8o, 86o+, 65o, 43o

You would have to fold the river on a club or on 7, 6, 5. Still, it's close because you have no good reads.