[Closed] $12 - Late Game high jack JJ vs. 3bet from reg

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Last Post by _Anonymous_ 16 years ago

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bigdwong

Joined: 14.05.2009

Posts: 305

30.11.2010, 04:01 0

The 3bettor is a regular that I haven't played much with. I was giving him a lot of respect (maybe too much?) because I didn't think he would think that I would be 2.1BB stealing there that often with my 13BB stack. Does anyone have any other opinions? Thanks everyone.

Full Tilt Poker $11 + $1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t100/t200 Blinds - 5 players - View hand 1051045
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: t2225 11.12 BBs
BB: t4165 20.82 BBs
Hero (UTG): t2730 13.65 BBs
CO: t765 3.83 BBs
BTN: t3615 18.07 BBs

Pre Flop: (t300) Hero is UTG with J :diamond: J :spade:
Hero raises to t425, 3 folds, BB raises to t4165 all in, Hero requests TIME, 1 fold

:diamond: HU Danny Blog

2 replies

_Anonymous_

30.11.2010, 07:21 0

You need him to resteal with

66+,AJs+,AQo+ to make this a call. This is possible if you have very aggro reads on him, but i don't think a reg makes this play.

ICM Explorer:
Equity needed: 57.09%
Chip odds: 41.46%
Risk premium: 15.63%
Chips gained by marginal call: 869.22.
Ties count as 64.81% of a win.
SD of marginal call: $18.51

_Anonymous_

30.11.2010, 10:24 0

call.

most regs on teh 12s will resteal at least 99+ AQ+ here. and if he knows how risk-averse you have to be here he will resteal a lot wider.

plus, you will have a huge stack ready to own the bubble if you win here so tehre is a lot of future equity to be had by getting it in here.

TT is a lot closer but JJ is pretty clear r/c for me