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[Closed] 3 $ LPH A7 os BB

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Beldyn
Joined: 14.05.2009

PartyGaming - $2.40+$0.60|200/400 NL - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

Hero (BB): 2,400.00
UTG: 10,180.00
BTN: 3,760.00
SB: 3,660.00

SB posts SB 200.00, Hero posts BB 400.00

Pre Flop: (600.00) Hero has 7♦ A♥

fold, BTN raises to 1,200.00, fold, Hero raises to 2,400.00 and is all-in, BTN calls 1,200.00

Flop: (5000.00, 2 players) T♠ 4♣ 6♠

Turn: (5000.00, 2 players) 2♠

River: (5000.00, 2 players) 7♣

Here if i am shortstack and i have read that villain is very loose
from btn is good my push ?


2 replies

Yes, if the BTN is very loose, you have enough equity to call all-in even with some weaker hands. You might consider a stop-and-go as an alternative to pushing, but pushing is fine.

Although this is the bubble, you have the shortest stack and you aren't tied with anyone who already folded. This means you aren't as risk-averse as you usually would be on the bubble.

Here is some output from my program ICM Explorer:

Fold: 2000 chips, 0.142, SD: $14.99
Win: 5000 chips, 0.2821
Lose: 0 chips, 0
Tie: 2500 chips, 0.1691

Equity needed: 50.32%
Chip odds: 40%
Risk premium: 10.32%
Chips gained by marginal call: 515.89.
Ties count as 59.94% of a win.
SD of marginal call: $16.1.

A7o is about even against a 40% range, so if you think the BTN is raising that widely or more, you can call.

You would be much more risk-averse against the chip leader, since doubling up would be far from ending the bubble. You would need the chip leader to be pushing ATC to call with A7o.


Originally posted by pzhon
A7o is about even against a 40% range, so if you think the BTN is raising that widely or more, you can call.

You would be much more risk-averse against the chip leader, since doubling up would be far from ending the bubble. You would need the chip leader to be pushing ATC to call with A7o.

This is really valuable information. Thankyou pzhon!

I'd push here too but I fold from SB I think.