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[Closed] AKJTds with nut flush on paired board

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Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $0.05(BB) Replayer
Hero ($5)
BB ($12.72)
UTG ($3.45)
UTG+1 ($3)
CO ($1.67)
BTN ($13.37)

Villain is
93/14/0/0
1.3/100/0/57
after 14 hands

Dealt to Hero K♥ J♠ A♥ T♠

UTG calls $0.05, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.25, fold, UTG calls $0.20, fold

FLOP ($0.60) 6♦ 3♥ 6♥

Hero bets $0.42, UTG calls $0.42

TURN ($1.44) 6♦ 3♥ 6♥ 9♥

Hero bets $0.68, UTG calls $0.68

RIVER ($2.80) 6♦ 3♥ 6♥ 9♥ T♦

Hero checks, UTG checks

Would you bet the river here? I honestly don't see how a worse hand could call me, but if he calls two barrels he could call a third. The problem is, he could easily have made his FH sometime before that and trapped me in position.


3 replies
MP89EST
Joined: 30.03.2008

14 hands isn´t a sample only things that we can see are the tendencies in vpip and pfr. Since the guy has 93/14 I would figure him as an passive calling station.
therefore I would bet/f R for value half pot.

But since of his stack size he has left on the R and the fact that you hold K hearts the only real hand that could pay you off, I would most likely c/f, since I doubt he would turn a worse made hand into a bluff.


Blegh, pretty annoying spot actually. Part of the problem is that you bet the turn so small to leave yourself just enough room to get away from the hand. I think it's better to just make it 0.90. I doubt his calling range changes, and then you don't have a decision anymore on the river.


Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

I'd play the same way, I'd like to think I bet $1 on the river, but often I end up checking and calling any bluffs from trips that didn't fill up. But then I remember that someone with trips would raise the flop so what i'm up against on the river given the betting is either a smaller flush or a full house that is sandbagging.
Given this, the best line is to bet and fold to raise so we get value from smaller flushes.