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[Closed] NL 100 KQo

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No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($100)
SB ($100.20)
BB ($163.80)
Hero (UTG) ($107.40)
MP ($125.30)
CO ($213.50)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q, K
Hero bets $3.50, 3 folds, SB calls $3, 1 fold

Flop: ($8) 2, Q, 10 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5.70, SB calls $5.70

Turn: ($19.40) Q (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $13.50, SB raises $40, Hero raises $84.70 (All-In), SB calls $51 (All-In)

River: ($201.40) A (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $201.40

Villan is 18/15 after 30 hands. No further reads.
I seriously didn't know what to put him on. Sets probably get it in on flop, low flushes too.
So I'm left with QA (a spade) and high flushes, other hands IMO don't make sense.
I also doubt he's bluffing. Is fold possible here?


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Originally posted by z1pz0r
So I'm left with QA (a spade) and high flushes, other hands IMO don't make sense.
I also doubt he's bluffing. Is fold possible here?

Since you made these assumptions, your shove does make absolutely no sense (unless you're bluffing because you think you can get low flushes/AQ to fold which I doubt).

So the next question is whether to call or fold.
Imo you should open up Pokerstove more often, in this case it's somewhat easy to figure out: Against a nutflush we have ~22% equity, against AQ ~27%.
We need to call $26.5 for a total pot of $99.4, which means we need ~26.7% equity.
Against AQ we have the equity and against a nutflush we probably have some implieds, so we can (and should) call the turn.