[Closed] Nl 10 KQo against push

Hand discussions for No Limit

Last Post by Thorsten77 19 years ago

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_Anonymous_

19.12.2007, 21:14 0

Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/pfr/af/wts/ats/foldbb/w$sd;Hero$10.39:///////;UTG$2.43:///////;[/tg]
0.05/0.10 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.9 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Q♦, K♣
UTG calls $0.10, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, 5 folds, UTG calls $0.40.

Flop: ($1.15) T♦, J♠, T♥ (2 players)
UTG bets $1.93 (All-In), Hero folds.

Final Pot: $3.08

UTG really knows how to defend his pair:D I would have bet/call flop, but even if I believe that 70% he has 22-88 I should fold it?

4 replies

_Anonymous_

19.12.2007, 21:22 0

30% trips: 8 outs: 31.45%, 193 for 308 = 1:1.6, you need 38% to win.

30% * 31.45% * 308 = 290598

30% * 68.55% * -100 = -396904.5

70% pair, 14 outs: 51.16%

70% * 51.16 * 308 = 1103009.6

70% * 48.84 * -193 = -659828.4

= 336874.6.

Only problem is, he could have AJ/KJ/QJ, but I actually think you can call here...

_Anonymous_

19.12.2007, 21:28 0

Don´t believe that other 30% he has trips. Trips would check/call flop, check turn and then push the river against my straight:)
He can have QJ, J9, 89 maybe KQ. Some draw or Jx.

_Anonymous_

19.12.2007, 21:30 0

Originally posted by Kaitz20
Don´t believe that other 30% he has trips. Trips would check/call flop, check turn and then push the river against my straight:)
He can have QJ, J9, 89 maybe KQ. Some draw or Jx.

Then you should call, because you have at least 11 outs, enough here.

Thorsten77

Joined: 28.05.2006

Posts: 11,209

22.12.2007, 11:23 0

IF you don't mind the higher variance, you can call here with 2 overcards and an OESD.

Skype: thorsten.schaefer.de