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[Closed] 24$ AQ c/r vs aggresive player

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arinho
Joined: 30.11.2007

No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 30/60 Blinds (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 (t1045)
MP2 (t1740)
MP3 (t1380)
CO (t1560)
Button (t1505)
SB (t1455)
BB (t1545)
UTG (t1835)
Hero (UTG+1) (t1435)

Hero's M: 15.94

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q, A
1 fold, Hero bets t150, MP1 calls t150, 6 folds

Flop: (t390) 10, 2, J (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets t240, Hero raises t1285 (All-In), MP1 calls t655 (All-In)

Turn: (t2180) 9 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: (t2180) 7 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: t2180

30/6 64 hands, 3.3 AF

I thought he will hardly fold to my Cbet so I wanted to check/shove a bigger bet or c/c a small one...
is it ok?


2 replies

I don't like this play at all given the board texture smashes a shortie's mid position calling range. This play has to work a ton and I just don't see him folding after he bets 240 into 360. The worst part is a lot of times your outs are going to be counterfeited when he has QJ/QT/AT etc.

I would either bet/fold or check/fold...maybe airing on the side of bet/fold if the board was rainbow. Would mind hearing some other opinions on this one.


i dont like it either.

although i think its realllly close to bet/call because of how short he is.

if you bet 150 on the flop to induce him to ship any draw any pair and even a few air hands like A8o,A9o.

Equity needed: 37.21%
Chip odds: 34.17%
Risk premium: 3.04%

Board: Ts 2h Jh
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.684% 38.07% 02.62% 79514 5471.00 { AdQs }
Hand 1: 59.316% 56.70% 02.62% 118434 5471.00 { 22+, ATs+, Ah9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, KTs+, Kh9h, Kh8h, QTs+, Qh9h, Qh8h, JTs, Jh9h, Jh8h, Th9h, Th8h, 9h8h, 9h7h, 9h6h, 8h7h, 8h6h, 7h6h, A7o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }

you can bet/call. mainly because its still 9 handed, and your risk-aversion is super low.

only other option is c/f imo, but i dont like it as much because of how aggressive he is you will c/f to a draw so so so often. so i would rather bet small/call to induce him to ship as many weak hands as possible. if he was a passive fish id just c/f it because i think he would check behind flop with most draws and just bet made hands and we really need to get it in against him with all draws to make it profitable.