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[Closed] flop fullhouse turn bluff nl100

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supeyrio
Joined: 11.11.2009

too optimistic? villian is reg so i know his range is medium PPs onwards but he's never holding the nuts.
he snapped call the turn and tank call the river. when he snapped turn check river, i' m pretty certain he's not slow playing the nuts so i decided to follow through.
villian plays 16/11/1.7aggr factor, donk bets 13% WTS 27%.
don't think my hand is ever good calling down.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Poker Stars
SB ($100)
BB ($100)
Hero ($158)
UTG+1 ($93.15)
UTG+2 ($106)
MP1 ($55.80)
CO ($151)
BTN ($104)

Dealt to Hero 6♣ 6♥

Hero raises to $4, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $3

FLOP ($8.50) 2♦ 2♠ 2♣

BB bets $5.25, Hero calls $5.25

TURN ($19) 2♦ 2♠ 2♣ 9♦

BB bets $10.85, Hero raises to $29, BB calls $18.15

RIVER ($77) 2♦ 2♠ 2♣ 9♦ T♦

BB checks, Hero bets $120 (AI), BB calls $61.75 (AI)


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I don't really like it. I much rather just flat or fold to the turnbet, after all you're more or less trying to get him to fold JJ+ - and people hate folding full houses.

Of course sometimes we get 88 or 77 to fold, but in my opinion this is such a thin play (and potentially -EV) that we can as well just give up on the turn.