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PLO5 9876s

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Waiboy
Joined: 18.09.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $0.05(BB) Replayer
SB ($5.49)
BB ($55.88)
Hero ($8.87)
UTG+1 ($8.32)
CO ($10.21)
BTN ($5.91)

Dealt to Hero 6♠ 9♣ 7♣ 8♥

Hero raises to $0.23, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.21, fold

FLOP ($0.57) 9♥ 5♠ 4♣

SB checks, Hero bets $0.35, SB calls $0.35

TURN ($1.27) 9♥ 5♠ 4♣ 2♥

SB bets $1.27, Hero calls $1.27

RIVER ($3.81) 9♥ 5♠ 4♣ 2♥ 7♥

SB bets $1.02, Hero calls $1.02

SB 71/9/11.1/35hands WTSD 36%, W$SD 22%, Turn AFq 39%, River AFq 33%

I'm kinda guessing a bit here. I call the turn because I figure I've got implied odds if I hit one of my outs, but I'm not sure I really have enough equity to call a pot size bet.

On reflection is just folding turn here correct or just too weak v this villain?

River I call cause I guess villain bets this amount with worse hands often enough.


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3 replies
VisuLatvijai
Joined: 15.02.2007

Usually I make bigger c-bet in this spots.
I think your call on the turn is right because if he have lower straight lets say 36 you will win a lot. Thats why I think you can easy calling his bet.


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Coach
Kyyberi
Joined: 09.07.2010

The thing is that 63xx blocks your outs. And his line represents pretty much low straight. His stats are pretty much calling station's, so I don't think he can donk a pot with some kind of combo draw as semibluff.

Against 63xx range you have just 24% equity. So to justify your call, you need to get at least $1.55 as value when you hit.

I think that you can easily bet $2-$3 when you hit against a calling station. I would not be that worried about a flush as it is a backdoor flush. Some times he has it, but most of the time not.

If you had more reads on opponent's river play, you might even concider miniraise there. That bet looks so much like a blocker bet (I don't think your opponent knows what that is), like "damn, that heart came. I bet smaller cos he might have that flush". Calling station will not fold a straight to a miniraise.


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

I don't like the idea of raising the river at all at higher limits, and this is why.

First of all, you're giving your opponent way too much credit. Your hand is underrepresented on the flop, so opponent might very well donk 2 pair into you here on the turn thinking he is good, or indeed he might try a bluff with an overpair and flush draw since he can't possibly understand how you would have connected with that flop.

I'm really struggling to see a straight pay you off on a raise here because I don't automatically put villain on a straight that bet/calls. It could be a straight that makes a small flush on the river or 2 pair with a flush draw or an overpair with flush draw.

Obviously it's not a nut flush, but even so, I dont' think a non nut flush is going to fold to a raise so the best course of action for me is to call the river bet.

For metagame reasons folding to the turn bet is incredibly weak and you may find yourself getting bluffed off pots in the future too easily anytime a scare card hits, especially on boards where opponents wont give you too much credit.

The guy has a W$DS which is very low, so at these lower limits he likely is clueless thought the sample size is very small and we can't read too much into this. I would still err on the side of caution and call the river bet, and expect to be shown A23T or something similar for a worse straight because i'm also imagining opponent having a hand like 8 :club:5 :heart:4 :heart:3 :spade: some of the time here on the turn when he donks into you.

Oh, and I would definitely jam the flop. :f_thumbsup:


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