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nl100 Rush KK vs utg, rivered set

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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($99.75)
BB ($119)
UTG ($254)
Hero ($105)
CO ($101)
BTN ($157)

Dealt to Hero K♥ K♠

UTG raises to $3.50, Hero calls $3.50, fold, fold, fold, fold

FLOP ($8.50) Q♥ A♣ 3♦

UTG bets $8.50, Hero calls $8.50

TURN ($25.50) Q♥ A♣ 3♦ 7♠

UTG checks, Hero checks

RIVER ($25.50) Q♥ A♣ 3♦ 7♠ K♦

UTG checks, Hero bets $13, UTG folds

Hero shows K♥ K♠

Hero wins $24.25

villain is 24/12/2, 293 hs. No reads.
River betsizing?

Seems that villain cant be strong here, so we should either bet $5 or pot it?

thx


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3 replies

I'm fan of betting sth like 5-8 here, I'm just getting so many curiousity calls from hands like 78 here or sth.


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kevvu
Joined: 11.05.2008

Tim, dont forget timings. Villain snap-pot, hero snap-calls. Turn villain snap-checks and hero snap-check behind.


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Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'd make it $8 as well.
A big bet will not get called very much because it should be obvious to villain we don't have a bluffingrange in this spot - after we call the flop and check the turn we usually have SD-value.
So either we're going for thin value on the river with a small bet or we hit something and can bet big.
If we wanted to turn a hand like KK into a bluff to get some small Ax to fold, we would start on the turn because we'd need 2 barrels.

So if we bet big here it has to be a strong hand almost always whereas with a small bet we rep a merged range that contains some medium strength hands (on this particular board it's hard for us to have those medium hands, but in general the reasoning above applies).


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