Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
Hero ($63.02)
BB ($14.18)
UTG ($81.38)
CO ($48.25)
BTN ($53.01)
Dealt to Hero 4♦ A♦
fold, fold, BTN raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5, fold, BTN calls $3.50
FLOP ($10.50) 3♠ 6♦ T♦
Hero bets $6, BTN calls $6
TURN ($22.50) 3♠ 6♦ T♦ 9♣
Hero checks, BTN bets $16, Hero folds
BTN wins $21.38
Villain - 31/27, steal from BU - 70%, fold to 3b - 88%.
Fold to FCB - 30%, fold to TCB - 100% (2)
Preflop i think this kinda hand is good enought to 3b bluff him.
The flop comes with nut FD for me, and i decide to make standart cbet to fold out any overcards which has some equity.
The turn is blank and i thought that check/shove here will be good enought to make it.
After he bets 16$, he strongly commited himself into a pot, and i have no odds to call, so without some fold equity i don't think that shove here will be +EV ?
I mean i havent any fold equity, cuz he bets 16$ on turn and he has 26$ back...