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[Closed] Shove flop w K flushdraw?

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ronekinky
Joined: 25.04.2008

Is my hand strong enough to shove flop? Villain seemed like a tight player.

PokerStars - $5+$0.50|500/1000 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 9 players

UTG+1: 3,570.00
MP: 32,442.00
MP+1: 38,952.00
LP: 35,617.00
CO: 39,267.00
Hero (BTN): 23,160.00
SB: 20,044.00
BB: 40,337.00
UTG: 15,963.00

UTG+1 posts ante 100.00, MP posts ante 100.00, MP+1 posts ante 100.00, LP posts ante 100.00, CO posts ante 100.00, Hero posts ante 100.00, SB posts ante 100.00, BB posts ante 100.00, UTG posts ante 100.00, SB posts SB 500.00, BB posts BB 1,000.00

Pre Flop: (2400.00) Hero has 4♠ K♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2,192.00, fold, BB calls 1,192.00

Flop: (5784.00, 2 players) 6♠ 8♠ 6♦
BB checks, Hero bets 2,689.00, BB raises to 10,000.00, Hero raises to 20,868.00 and is all-in, BB calls 10,868.00

Turn: (47520.00, 2 players) 9♠

River: (47520.00, 2 players) T♠


2 replies

When he re-raises the flop it's either shove or fold and i don't see how you can get away from that hand. The paired board shouldn't matter much as 88 and 6x is unlikely. He probably has an overpair like 99, TT, JJ, or QQ most of the time and your K is likely to be an out too.

Nice hand imo.


00Visor
Joined: 26.11.2007

After his big flop raise we can assume he will never fold.
Judging by the Odds, we need at least 39% Equity to go broke.

Against any pair (or pocket) we have about 40-41%.
Against nut-flushdraws we are pretty dead (20%).

With a few bluffs the spot might by slightly +EV, but too slightly that we have to take it. I would fold.

If the opponent would just minraise (or slightly more), I would definitely shove because I think he`s folding quite a lot then (especially on a paired board).