$1 turbo ring: AQo call vs UTG BS shove 5-handed 10bb

mktpppr

Joined: 18.07.2010

10.05.2011, 21:23 0

hi,
is this call correct? villain (MTing) 81 hands 12/10, i snap-called but now villain looks tighter than nash

nash (PU) 21.3%, 88+ A2s+ A9o+ A5o-A3o K5s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo JTs
nash (CA) 5.9%, 88+ AJs+ AQo+

http://www.holdemresources.net/hr/sngs/icmcalculator.html?action=calculate&bb=160&sb=80&ante=0&structure=0.5%2C0.3%2C0.2&s1=4450&s2=1650&s3=3562&s4=2058&s5=1780&s6=&s7=&s8=&s9=

Fold: 1620 chips, 0.1398, SD: $15.78
Win: 3640 chips, 0.2519
Lose: 0 chips, 0
Tie: 1820 chips, 0.153

Equity needed: 55.48%
Chip odds: 44.51%
Risk premium: 10.98%
Chips gained by marginal call: 399.49.
Ties count as 60.72% of a win.
SD of marginal call: $16.83.

giving villain a ~12% range, tighter than nash:
Equity Win Tie
MP3 46.45% 42.19% 4.26% 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+
BB 53.55% 49.30% 4.26% AcQs

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, 1.2 Tournament, 80/160 Blinds (5 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG (t4450)
MP (t1650)
Button (t3562)
SB (t2058)
Hero (BB) (t1780)

Hero's M: 7.42

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, A
UTG bets t4450 (All-In), 3 folds, Hero calls t1620 (All-In)

Flop: (t3640) J, K, 9 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: (t3640) 4 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: (t3640) 2 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: t3640

2 replies

Hlynkinn

Joined: 14.06.2008

Posts: 4,988

13.05.2011, 01:30 0

So weird that any opponent would push here... he's pushing for effective 22 bb's... Any thing in the table dynamics that might make him want to shove wide here'??

I think he's shoving really tight here.... I probably curse and fold..
But if he has been shoving a lot for 22 bb effective and you think his range might include all those random hands go ahead and call... but I think he's always like 99+ AJ+ r something here.. even tighter...

My signature is better than yours

chenny8888

Joined: 03.10.2007

Posts: 17,729

16.05.2011, 06:15 0

Fold but keep in mind his range is capped. QQ+ isn't in it or at least has to be heavily discounted. AK and JJ however are much more likely. And thus we must fold AQ still.

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[Closed] $1 turbo ring: AQo call vs UTG BS shove 5-handed 10bb