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[Closed] river call w str8 on drawy paired board

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Dublimax
Joined: 22.11.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($91.12)
BB ($35.50)
UTG ($99.50)
UTG+1 ($111) VP:15/PFR:14 (from MP) AF:3.5/WTSD:23/CBet flop:69/CBet Turn:50
Hero ($124)
BTN ($41.05)

Dealt to Hero J♠ Q♠

fold, UTG+1 raises to $3, Hero calls $3, fold, fold, fold

FLOP ($7.50) 8♠ Q♣ 9♣

UTG+1 bets $5.12, Hero calls $5.12

TURN ($17.74) 8♠ Q♣ 9♣ T♣

UTG+1 bets $11.71, Hero calls $11.71

RIVER ($41.16) 8♠ Q♣ 9♣ T♣ Q♦

UTG+1 bets $25, Hero calls $25

Had 2 notes on him:
UTG no CBet and Fold on Jxxss vs me MP
UTG vs me MP CBet 3/4 pot and Ck/F turn on T65r,8

I think Flop and turn are ok.
The river is basically will he bet with AQ,KQ or str8?


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'd call turn and fold river, if he checks the river to us we can b/f for value.

AQ and KQ only have 4 combinations each since three queens are already out, and he's probably not even betting Qx every time (maybe he'd always check them because he's afraid of valuetowning himself vs a straight).
So we're calling in the hope of splitting vs QJs or JTs - QJs has 1 combo, JTs has 2.
At the same time there are 4 KJs, and 3 of each TT, 99 and 88.